ilmscore | 94.9% Chance of Interest Rate Cut in Sept – The Fed is in Trouble!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
There is a 94.9% probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on September 17th.
"There is now a 94.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at their next meeting on September 17th."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
The July jobs report of 73,000 additions could be revised down to negative 120,000.
"I wouldn't be surprised to see that get revised down from the 73,000 jobs added to even negative 120,000."
Labor Market Revisions
Pending
Tariffs are predicted to increase the rate of inflation in the upcoming months.
"the tariffs are expected to accelerate the rate of inflation over the coming months."
Inflation
Pending
Jay Powell believes cutting interest rates too early could re-accelerate inflation.
"Powell's saying that if they start to cut interest rates too early, then that may reacelerate inflation."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
Cutting interest rates too soon risks not effectively combating inflation.
"If we cut rates too soon, maybe we didn't finish the job with inflation."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
Cutting interest rates too late could cause unnecessary damage to the labor market.
"If you cut too late, then maybe you're doing unnecessary damage to the labor market."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
The labor market is expected to weaken further in the upcoming jobs report.
"for the jobs, like I don't think it's going to be a surprise to anyone to see that the labor market's going to weaken even further in the next report."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
Jerome Powell may justify an interest rate cut by attributing high inflation to a one-time tariff effect.
"I think the only way that Paul can play this off is if he says this high inflation, it's coming from the tariffs, but the tariffs are going to cause a one-time increase in inflation."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
If the Fed maintains its forecast of two rate cuts for the year, and cuts in September, further cuts are expected in October or December.
"If they keep it at two rate cuts, you know, for the remainder of this year, that means that, okay, if they cut in September, then they're going to have to cut again very soon, either in October or in December."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts
Pending