Inflation will rise meaningfully in the second half of 2025.
"Jay Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, reaffirmed his position at a congressional hearing that just took place. And Paul says that, I mean, he reiterated that he wants to take a wait and see approach. So, the market is expecting that the Federal Reserve is going to start cutting interest rates at their September 17th meeting. ... Powell says that he wants to take a wait and see approach because he believes that inflation will rise meaningfully in the second half of 2025."