The Great Melt-Up: US Government will Manufacture a Crisis to Refinance National Debt

Published: 2024-10-21
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
The manufactured crisis will lead to high inflation and accelerate the 'great melt up'.
"of course it's going to be highly inflationary this going to accelerate the great melt up"
N/A
Correct
The US government's annual interest expense will exceed $1 trillion.
"the US government will spend more than $1 trillion on interest expense"
N/A
Correct
The Federal Reserve's plan to lower interest rates to 3.0% by the end of 2026 is insufficient for the government's debt load.
"their plan which is laid out in their SCP is to bring interest rates down to 3.0% by the end of 2026 and you know what I call BS because that's not low enough for the government's debt load"
N/A
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to near 0% after a manufactured crisis.
"they're most likely going to do they're going to manufacture a crisis so that the Federal Reserve will have an excuse to cut interest rates back down to close to 0%"
N/A
Incorrect
The US government will issue more 20 and 30-year treasury bonds to lock in low interest rates after the crisis.
"they're going to lock in those low interest rates for the long term by issuing more 20 and 30-year treasury bonds than they normally do"
N/A
Incorrect
In the next crisis, the US government may suspend the debt ceiling, borrow excessively, and issue 50-year bonds.
"I wouldn't be surprised if the government suspends a debt ceiling borrows a ridiculous amount of money and even issue 50-year bonds"
N/A
Incorrect
US Treasuries will decline further as a reserve asset when the government takes these actions.
"when this happens us treasuries will fall even further as a reserve asset"
N/A
Correct
The Federal Reserve's money printing to buy government debt will be highly inflationary.
"it's going to be the Federal Reserve they're going to get that money by printing it out of thin air and of course that is going to be highly inflationary"
N/A
Incorrect