ilmscore | Government Shutdown Turning Into a National Crisis — SNAP Cuts, TSA Unpaid, Markets on Edge

Predictions from this Video

Total: 3
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 0
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The government shutdown is predicted to be resolved by the end of November, and likely before.
"But again, the Republicans and Democrats, they're now talking again because of the because of the mounting pressure. But as I told you in my previous video, I got my money on the shutdown being resolved by the end of November, most likely well before then."
Government Shutdown Resolution
Correct
Due to a lack of economic data caused by the government shutdown, there is now a 70% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December, down from a previous 93% chance.
"So J Powell, who's a chair of the Federal Reserve, said that there was a strong disagreement among the committee members about what they're going to do in December because of the lack of government reports. They're on a foggy path. That's what he said. Okay. Okay, so before the government shutdown, there was a 93% chance that they were going to cut interest rates in December. But now the odds have fallen to 70%."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut
Incorrect
The government shutdown is predicted to resolve within one to two weeks, and is expected to conclude very soon.
"I told my friend, like, I gave him my honest opinion. I said, "Just give it a week or two. The government's going to reopen." I knew that it's it's going to drag out, but I'm betting that it's coming to a conclusion very soon."
Government Shutdown Duration
Incorrect