ilmscore | America's Labor Market is Crashing — Fed Can't Ignore This

America's Labor Market is Crashing — Fed Can't Ignore This

Published: 2025-11-07
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 3
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Market expectation as of December 2025 is a 68.7% probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their December meeting.
"Right now, there's a 68.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a quarter point, so 0.25% 25% at the December meeting and there's a 31.3% chance that they're going to leave interest rates alone that they're not going to cut."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's September projections indicated an interest rate cut in October (which occurred) and another cut in December.
"In their projections, they wrote down that they would cut interest rates at their October meeting, which they did cut, and they also wrote down that they're going to cut interest rates in December."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Correct
The speaker believes it is more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will implement a 0.25% interest rate cut in December 2025.
"So, I do agree that it's more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December again by their quarter point."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Incorrect