ilmscore | $2,000 Stimulus Check —Trump Confirms Tariff Dividend

Predictions from this Video

Total: 24
Correct: 8
Incorrect: 11
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
President Trump has officially confirmed a promise of a $2,000 stimulus check for all Americans, funded by tariff revenue.
"President Trump has officially confirmed and promised the $2,000 stimulus check to all Americans from the tariff revenue."
Economic Stimulus
Incorrect
A dividend of at least $2,000 per person (excluding high-income earners) will be paid to everyone.
"A dividend of at least $2,000 a person, not including high-income people, will be paid to everyone."
Economic Stimulus
Incorrect
President Trump is explicitly stating his intention to provide a $2,000 stimulus check to nearly all Americans, with the exception of high-income earners.
"President Trump is explicitly saying that he's going to give a $2,000 stimulus check to almost all Americans, excluding the highincome earners."
Economic Stimulus
Incorrect
Inflation is currently running high.
"And right now, inflation is still running hot."
Inflation
Incorrect
The current inflation rate is approximately 6%.
"But currently the true rate of inflation is closer to approximately 6%."
Inflation
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is aggressively lowering interest rates and preparing to restart money printing, potentially as early as Q1 2026.
"the Federal Reserve is right now aggressively lowering interest rates and they're getting ready to turn the money printers back on and they're saying as early as Q1 of 2026, which is right around the corner."
Federal Reserve Policy
Incorrect
Inflation is predicted to increase significantly in 2026, even without stimulus checks.
"So even without these stimulus checks, the rate of inflation is going to go much higher in 2026."
Inflation
Pending
As of November 9th, the US government's debt stood at $38.1 trillion, not $37 trillion.
"As of November 9th, the government's debt is at 38.1 trillion, not 37."
National Debt
Correct
Tariff revenue in September reached $31.6 billion.
"In the most recently reported month, so September, tariff revenue soared to $31.6 billion."
Tariff Revenue
Pending
At the current monthly rate, tariff revenue is projected to generate $380 billion annually.
"If we continue at that monthly rate, then that's going to provide the governments $380 billion a year."
Tariff Revenue
Pending
The US government had a deficit of $1.78 trillion in fiscal year 2025.
"For fiscal year 2025, the US government's overspent by 1.78 trillion. In other words, they had a $1.78 trillion deficit."
Government Deficit
Correct
The federal government's debt is expected to increase from its current level of $38.1 trillion.
"the federal debt goes down from here from 38.1 trillion or if it goes up. But, I mean, I'm that's just a silly question because I guarantee you that the federal government's debt is just going to become larger."
Government Debt
Correct
The speaker believes that gold revaluation is the only potential method for paying down national debt.
"The only way that they're going to pay down debt in my opinion would be with gold revaluation."
National Debt
Incorrect
The country lost 3,000 manufacturing jobs in the previous month.
"the country lost 3,000 manufacturing jobs last month."
Manufacturing Jobs
Incorrect
For a $2,000 stimulus check to be issued, Congress would need to approve it, similar to the process during the pandemic.
"if President Trump wanted to give a $2,000 stimulus check, then Congress would need to vote on it just like it did back during the pandemic."
Economic Stimulus
Correct
A $2,000 stimulus check would require a simple majority in the House and 60 votes in the Senate to pass.
"It would have to pass in the House of Representatives with a simple majority and then it would have to pass in the Senate with 60 votes."
Economic Stimulus
Correct
To pass the stimulus check in the Senate with fewer than 60 votes, President Trump would need to utilize the reconciliation procedure, reducing the requirement to 50 votes.
"if President Trump wanted to pass this in the Senate, then he would have to do the reconciliation procedure and that would lower the requirement down to 50 votes instead of 60."
Economic Stimulus
Correct
The speaker predicts that distributing a $2,000 stimulus check to Americans will be very difficult to achieve through Congress.
"getting this $2,000 stimulus check to Americans would be very challenging in Congress."
Economic Stimulus
Correct
The $2,000 stimulus check might be implemented in 2026 only if the recession worsens exponentially and it's deemed a last resort to save the economy.
"The only way that I see this actually going through is if the recession worsens exponentially next year in 2026 and they have to save the economy with this being the last resort."
Economic Stimulus
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is aggressively cutting interest rates, has halted quantitative tightening (QT), and is considering quantitative easing (QE).
"they're cutting interest rates so aggressively and that's why they're they stopped the QT and now they're talking about starting the QE, the quantitative easing."
Federal Reserve Policy
Correct
President Trump's tariffs are currently being challenged in the Supreme Court, with oral arguments having taken place on November 5th.
"President Trump's tariffs are being challenged in courts. It's gone to the Supreme Court and oral arguments have been heard on November 5th."
Tariff Legal Challenge
Incorrect
If President Trump's tariffs are invalidated, tariff revenue is expected to be reduced by 50%.
"If Trump's tariffs are struck down, then the tariff revenue is expected to be cut in half."
Tariff Revenue
Pending
If tariffs are struck down, annual tariff collections would fall below $200 billion.
"it would fall below $200 billion a year."
Tariff Revenue
Pending
The government's annual overspending is nearly $2 trillion.
"the government overspends by almost $2 trillion a year."
Government Deficit
Incorrect