The Fed Just Changed Everything - What You Need To Know NOW!
Published: 2024-09-18
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2024-09-18
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The S&P 500 has historically shown positive returns in 86% of the 12 months following a Federal Reserve rate cut, based on data since 1929.
"in the 12 months after a rate cut the s&p500 the stock market has posted positive returns in 86% of cases since 1929"
Pending
There is a predicted 56% chance of a recession occurring before 2026.
"the bad news is it's predicting a 56% chance we could go into one before 2026"
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Dividend-paying sectors such as utilities and real estate are expected to outperform the general market when interest rates are low.
"dividend paying sectors like utilities and real estate tend to outperform the broader Market in a low rate environment"
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Bond prices are predicted to increase as interest rates decrease.
"as interest rates go down bond prices go up"
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If Bitcoin experiences the same market cap increase as gold has in 2024 (3.3x), its price could potentially reach $174,000 from its current value.
"if you think that Bitcoin can still experience the same market cap increase then Bitcoin could go up by a factor of 3.3x that means roughly $558,000 a coin that it's at now to $174,000 a coin"
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Bitcoin's price increased from approximately $7,000 to over $60,000 between 2020 and April 2021, coinciding with the Federal Reserve slashing interest rates to near zero.
"when the FED slashed rates to almost zero in 2020 Bitcoin went up from around 7,000 a coin to over 60,000 by April 2021"
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Savings account interest rates are expected to drop by 0.25% to 0.5% within a few weeks of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
"historically we have seen rates Fall by a qu% to a half a% within a couple weeks of a Fed cut"
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Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates could decrease by 0.25% to 0.5% in the coming months if the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates.
"we could see that drop by a quarter to a half a percent in the coming months if the FED continues to cut rates"
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Following the Federal Reserve's rate cut in 2019, mortgage rates decreased by approximately 0.75% over the subsequent six months.
"after the fed's last rate cut in 2019 mortgage rates dropped by around 75% so 34s over the course of the following 6 months"
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Average credit card interest rates are expected to decrease following Federal Reserve rate cuts, mirroring a drop from 17.7% in 2019 to around 14% by mid-2020.
"credit cards by the way which are directly linked to the federal fund rates saw an average rate drop from 177% in 2019 to around 14% by mid 2020 after those rate Cuts"
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The speaker predicts an initial short-term dip in the stock market following rate cuts, attributing it to a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' phenomenon as the cuts are already priced in.
"my gut feeling is that initially the stock market will go down and that's because I think the rate Cuts have already been priced in so I think it will be a buy the rumor sell the news kind of thing"
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Bitcoin's price movement is expected to follow gold's, with gold's increase preceding Bitcoin's.
"Bitcoin tends to lag behind Gold's performance so first gold goes up and then Bitcoin goes up"
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The speaker believes that in the long term, Bitcoin will outperform almost all other asset classes, including gold.
"just like Michael sailor I think in the long term Bitcoin will outperform virtually every other asset class including an especially gold"
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