ilmscore | $2,000 Stimulus Check Update — Trump Says "Dividend Will Be Paid"

Predictions from this Video

Total: 4
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 3
Prediction
Topic
Status
Tariff revenue in 2025 is projected to be slightly under $300 billion.
"As you can see, the revenue collected this year from tariffs is so much higher than previous years. Right now, as of November, it's at $228 billion. But of course, the year isn't over yet. For December, the government is expected to collect about another $35 billion, maybe 40 billion, you know, on the high end. And then we have the rest of November, right? So the final figure for the year, it's going to come around slightly under $300 billion for the entirety of 2025."
US Tariffs
Pending
There is a 27% chance of President Trump issuing a $2,000 stimulus check by March 31, 2026.
"the market says that there's a 27% chance that President Trump issues the $2,000 stimulus check by March 31st of next year."
US Stimulus Check Likelihood
Incorrect
A stimulus check of this size would likely only be issued if the economy collapses or a bailout is required.
"the only way that the government's going to issue a stimulus check, especially of this size, is if the economy craters or if a bailout is needed, which threatens an economic cratering."
US Stimulus Check Likelihood
Pending
If the Supreme Court rules Trump's tariffs illegal, revenue could drop to under $100 billion.
"If the Supreme Court says that President Trump's tariffs are illegal and they have to be voted through Congress, then most of the tariffs would be struck down and then the tariffs would only bring in under $100 billion."
US Tariffs Revenue (if illegal)
Pending