Why Everything Is Selling Off (Starting With Bitcoin)
Published: 2025-11-21
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-11-21
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 12
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitcoin's all-time low for the current cycle is predicted to occur around October 5th, 2026, approximately 364 days after the all-time high on October 6th of the current year (which is 2025 based on the video's publication date).
"if this pattern continues, we should reach the all-time low 364 days from our all-time high, which happened on October 6th of this year. That means we are on around October 5th, 2026 when Bitcoin could reach the all-time low of this cycle."
Pending
Bitcoin has fallen below the $13,000 level, which is identified as the 50-week moving average and a signal of the end of a bull cycle.
"And we broke below that price point for a few weeks in a row now, which is obviously not good. That price point is $13,000, which for a few weeks now, we have been below that point."
Incorrect
Bitcoin is predicted to be a leading indicator for broader market movements, being the first asset affected.
"And again, it just so happens that Bitcoin is the canary in the coal mine, as they say. It's the first thing to be affected."
Incorrect
A new development in Bitcoin suggests it will function not only as money but also as an immutable data transfer protocol capable of storing various types of data.
"This new version that's being pushed says Bitcoin isn't just money, but data of all sorts, pictures, videos, whatever. It's an immutable data transfer protocol."
Incorrect
Early Bitcoin investors are predicted to be cashing out their profits due to sufficient market liquidity, an event described as Bitcoin's 'IPO moment'.
"It means for Bitcoin is early investors are cashing out. They're taking their profits because for the first time in history, they actually can. There's enough liquidity. There's enough money now to sell and get their money out."
Incorrect
A significant wealth transfer from early Bitcoin investors to the general public is currently underway and is expected to take approximately one year to complete.
"So, what we're seeing is a transfer of wealth from the few early investors to now the masses. This phase is what we're in right now. It's slow. It could take a whole year for us to reach the point of those people selling out of their investment, but this is what it looks like and it's a long journey down. Again, it could take us 364 days roughly."
Incorrect
Rising interest rates in Japan are predicted to cause money to leave dollar-denominated assets and return to Japan.
"But now that's changed because Japan's interest rates are going up, which means no more borrowing free money. and a change of incentive. Meaning money right now could be leaving dollar denominated assets and going back to their homeland where interest rates are high enough to make sense keeping that money at home."
Correct
The Federal Reserve's decision to end quantitative tightening on December 1st is seen as a signal that the financial system may be showing signs of fragility.
"The Fed announced that on December 1st they'll be ending QT or quantitative tightening. Now that is good, but it's also technically bad because when the Fed ends QT, it usually means they are seeing signs that something somewhere in the financial system is starting to break or at least is fragile."
Correct
Bitcoin is predicted to reach its all-time low for the current cycle around October 5th, 2026, based on historical cycle patterns of approximately 364 days from the all-time high.
"Which means if this pattern continues, we should reach the all-time low 364 days from our all-time high, which happened on October 6th of this year. That means we are on around October 5th, 2026 when Bitcoin could reach the all-time low of this cycle."
Pending
The current market phase, described as Bitcoin's 'IPO moment,' could take approximately 364 days to complete, suggesting a prolonged period of wealth transfer from early investors to the masses.
"And it could take us 364 days roughly."
Incorrect
The current market downturn in Bitcoin and AI stocks is being analyzed through two primary forces: technical analysis and macro-economic factors.
"So, the question is why? And how does this affect everything else? So, in this video, I want to share with you all the super interesting theories about what's happening. And let me just start right here. I mentioned this one before, but I want to repeat it because in the world of economics, in the world of investing, there's two major forces that try to explain what's happening to the world."
Incorrect
Bitcoin has fallen below its 50-week moving average of $13,000 for several consecutive weeks, indicating the end of a bull cycle and the start of a bear market.
"And we broke below that price point for a few weeks in a row now, which is obviously not good. That price point is $13,000, which for a few weeks now, we have been below that point."
Incorrect
A recent update to Bitcoin's core development, allegedly funded by controversial sources, has removed an old data restriction (OP_RETURN), increasing the capacity for attaching data to transactions.
"But the newest version of Bitcoin run by the core development team, which was allegedly funded by some sketchy people on that list, made an update that got rid of an old data restriction. It's called OP return. Now, this feature is what allows people to attach a piece of data to their Bitcoin transaction. Now, this was always possible with Bitcoin, but this update increased the size of how big that data could be."
Incorrect
The new direction for Bitcoin, driven by the core development team, suggests it's evolving beyond just a currency to become an immutable data transfer protocol capable of storing various data types like images and videos.
"So, now this new version that's being pushed says Bitcoin isn't just money, but data of all sorts, pictures, videos, whatever. It's an immutable data transfer protocol."
Incorrect
The ability to attach larger data files to Bitcoin transactions raises concerns about potential spamming of the blockchain with NFTs and memes, which could increase block size, hinder decentralization, and alter Bitcoin's intended purpose.
"The problem with that though is if someone were to attach something illegal like the people who might have been funding this project for their own self-interest in 2015 allegedly that makes it potentially unusable from an ethical and illegal point of view. How? Because this opens the door for people to spam the blockchain with things like NFTTS and memes and other random files which over time not only increases the block size making it harder to run your own node and to be decentralized but also changes the meaning of what Bitcoin is supposed to be."
Correct
The current market phase for Bitcoin is characterized by a slow transfer of wealth from early investors to the masses, a process that could take up to a year to complete.
"So, what we're seeing is a transfer of wealth from the few early investors to now the masses. This phase is what we're in right now. It's slow. It could take a whole year for us to reach the point of those people selling out of their investment."
Incorrect
Due to rising interest rates in Japan, money may be moving out of dollar-denominated assets and returning to Japan to benefit from higher domestic interest rates.
"And a change of incentive. Meaning money right now could be leaving dollar denominated assets and going back to their homeland where interest rates are high enough to make sense keeping that money at home."
Correct
The Federal Reserve is scheduled to end its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program on December 1st.
"The Fed announced that on December 1st they'll be ending QT or quantitative tightening."
Incorrect