Dussehra 2025 Special | Investing in Gold | Buy or Sell | CA Rachana Ranade
Published: 2025-10-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-10-01
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 3
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker shows a monthly candlestick chart for gold and discusses its movements, implying a potential for future price action based on historical patterns and indicators.
"I'm confident it will reach $130,000 by 2025."
Incorrect
Following a significant rally, a short-term pullback or cool-off in gold prices is expected.
"So could there be some cool cool off which is expected? Ideally yes."
Correct
In July 2020, when the RSI for gold was 88, it experienced an 18-19% correction over 8-9 months until March 2021, indicating a pattern of significant correction after overbought conditions.
"If you see here this is July 2020 where RSI was at 88 and from here RSI just came down and down This was the lowest point in March 21 so this is what July 20 to March 21 roughly this is what 8 to 9 months and in that span gold saw a correction of almost almost 18 18 to 19%."
Correct
In May, when the RSI for gold reached 80.61, it led to an approximately 10% correction within 2-3 months.
"Yes, you can see our 80.61 May. So, this is the candle for May. And if I were to check from here, let me just check from here to here. Almost a 10% correction in 2 to 3 months."
Correct
In October 2024, the RSI for gold crossed 84, resulting in an 8% correction over two months (October 24 high to November 24 low).
"Yes, it is October 24. So from October 24 high to November 24 low again this is almost 8% correction. 2 months 8%."
Correct
The current high RSI level (93) for gold indicates it's in an overbought zone, suggesting a potential for a correction.
"So it's a clear indication that yes RSI is definitely heated. It is in the overbought zone. So could we expect some sort of correction? Answer is yes."
Correct
Based purely on technical analysis, gold is in an overheated zone, and a short-term cool-off is possible.
"But if you are talking purely based on technical analysis, yes it is in the overheated zone and there are chances that in the short term there could be some sort of cool off."
Correct
Gold futures on MCX showed a 55.63% return in 2025.
"In 2025 oh my god 55.63% return."
Incorrect
Over the past three years, gold has delivered more than 100% returns.
"Now if you even if you check the last 3 years gold has given more than 100% returns."
Incorrect
Bulk investments in gold are currently not recommended due to an unfavorable risk-reward ratio, although some upside potential might still exist.
"But if you're talking about bulk investments right now, that looks a little bit tricky. I mean, I'm not saying there is 0% upside. There may be some upside, but the risk reward ratio doesn't fit right now."
Correct
Beyond short-term fluctuations and festival demand, there are fundamental reasons that could drive a gold rally over a 1 to 3-year perspective.
"But then you might wonder that in spite of all these scenarios if if gold were to go up barring festival seasons and all these is are there any other other reasons Answer is yes and because of which gold could continue the rally if I'm talking about a 1 to threeyear perspective not immediate short-term perspective"
Correct
Central banks globally, including India's RBI, China, and Russia, are actively purchasing gold.
"all the central banks beat RBI beat China central bank beat Russian central bank all are buying gold"
Correct
There is a growing discussion about de-dollarization, where countries may reduce their reliance on the US dollar and focus on developing their own currencies.
"everyone is now talking about a concept which is something close to detoization where countries may give lesser importance to dollar and they may say oh let's build a a currency of our own"
Correct
Central banks are considering holding gold as a reserve asset, moving away from solely relying on the US dollar, with discussions around BRICS currencies potentially playing a role.
"so some I'm sure you might have heard about that bricks currency per se or even I'm talking about currency as a reserve something as a reserve instead of having dollars as a reserve there will be I mean many of the central banks are saying we'll keep gold as a reserve"
Correct
Many countries worldwide are increasing their gold reserves, viewing gold as a superior asset class compared to the US dollar.
"as in addition I mean as as a superior asset class as compared to dollar So all over the world there are a lot of countries who are building their gold reserves."
Correct
Anticipated interest rate cuts are expected to weaken the US dollar, which would likely increase demand for precious metals like gold and silver, thereby driving up prices.
"Point number two is expectations of rate cut. Whenever there will be rate cuts of course dollar is going to weaken with this priority for metals like of course gold or silver also in that case the demand shifts. If demand is higher price will be higher. So that could be the second reason."
Correct
Geopolitical uncertainty and political instability are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, which is expected to further increase demand in the medium term.
"And third reason of course with political uncertainty with global geopolitical uncertainty uh in such cases everyone wants to park their funds into safe havens safe asset classes and needless to say that gold is definitely one of them and that is the reason why demand could further climb in the medium term."
Correct
While a short-term pullback in gold is expected, the rally is predicted to continue in the medium term (1-3 years) or longer.
"If I'm talking about short-term ideally pull back expected but if you're talking about a medium-term maybe 1 to 3 years or maybe slightly longer than that the rally still can continue."
Correct
The process of investing in gold mutual funds via SIPs is covered after discussing technical and fundamental analyses.
"So we started with technical analysis then we talked about the fundamental reasons and ultimately if you were to start an SIP in a mutual fund how could you go about it."
Pending
The speaker concludes by summarizing the video's content, which covers technical and fundamental analysis of gold and guidance on starting an SIP in gold mutual funds, encouraging viewers to like and subscribe.
"So we started with technical analysis then we talked about the fundamental reasons and ultimately if you were to start an SIP in a mutual fund how could you go about it. So I hope as other videos in this video also you found a lot of value. If you did Please don't forget to smash the like button."
Pending