Fed Rate Cut | Stocks in Focus | CA Rachana Ranade
Published: 2025-09-18
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-09-18
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 9
Prediction
Topic
Status
Nifty's next target zone is projected to be between 25,500 and 26,650.
"ideally the next zone that we should be targeting is 25,500 to 26,650."
Incorrect
The next resistance level for Nifty is identified as 26,500 to 26,650.
"26,500 26,650 that could be the next resistance."
Incorrect
Following a double bottom formation breakout, Nifty could potentially reach 25,915.
"if it were to zoom past this then till what level can it go up? And for that very simple if you have learned technical analysis what we do is we just check this height the W height we replicate this from the breakout and this comes to 25,915"
Incorrect
Due to a clear double bottom formation, there is a possibility for Nifty to surpass 26,000.
"25,900 plus and that is the reason why I have mentioned in today's thumbnail that is there a chance that nifty can go beyond 26,000 this is the rationale we can see a double bottom formation very clearly."
Incorrect
The presence of a textbook double bottom pattern suggests Nifty might move beyond 26,000.
"this is the reason why I have mentioned in today's thumbnail that is there a chance that nifty can go beyond 26,000 this is the rationale we can see a double bottom formation very clearly. It's a textbook pattern and as I as I told right let me just clear the drawings once again."
Incorrect
A textbook double bottom pattern with a breakout and a supporting candle indicates a positive outlook for Nifty.
"as I told right let me just clear the drawings once again. Um not only it's it's just a textbook pattern. Uh there is a breakout there is uh a you know uh candle which is also supporting candle and today's candle of course I had it been a little bit better I would have been more than happy but still not bad at all."
Correct
Nifty is unlikely to fall below 25,000 and has a good chance of advancing further.
"ideally it should not fall below 25,000 and there are reasons for that why it should not immediately fall below 25,000 in fact I feel there are great chances that it will keep on advancing a little bit"
Incorrect
Once Nifty overcomes the 25,500-25,600 resistance, there's a high probability of it crossing and exceeding 26,000.
"25,500 25,600 is a crucial uh you know resistance once we clean that up. Wow. Great chances that we may cross 26,000 zoom past that as well."
Incorrect
The US Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark rate by 25 basis points in September 2025, setting the new range at 4% to 4.25%.
"Federal Reserve cut the Fed fund rate by 25 basis points in September 2025 bringing it to the 4 to 4.25% range."
Correct
With US unemployment at a 3-year high of 4.3%, consumer demand for loans (home, car) is expected to be low despite interest rate cuts.
"US is at the highest level of unemployment right now at 4.3%. Is this something scary and answer is yes. Now you can imagine if people don't have the shortity of their jobs even though the interest rates are cut there are very less chances that they'll still go for a home loan or a car loan or whatever."
Incorrect
Following the Fed rate cut, there's a high probability that India's Monetary Policy Committee will also reduce interest rates in their October meeting.
"with the decrease in Fed fund rate, the central banks around the world get an opportunity to cut rates. Okay. Now, when is India's monetary policy committee's meeting planned? That is planned in October. Okay. I I don't remember the exact dates but it's in in the month of October. And now there'll be great chances that India will also decrease the interest rates."
Correct
Based on a double bottom technical pattern, Nifty has a potential to reach 26,000 in the short to medium term.
"based on technical analysis I can say double bottom and there's a chance that nifty may go closer to 26,000. I'm not saying it'll happen tomorrow. It'll happen in this week, next week, whatever in the short to medium term. It it can touch 26,000."
Incorrect
In India, banks, NBFCs, real estate, and auto sectors are expected to benefit from interest rate cuts due to increased loan growth and interest income.
"sector which which ideally should get immediately benefited out of that is banks and NBFCs. Simple if in India I'm talking about it in India when the interest rates lower people will take more loan more loan is equal to loan growth for banking stocks and interest rates I sorry interest income per se will increase for them so banking and BFC stocks are number one uh number two what I can think of is real estate uh auto uh they can be good beneficiaries"
Correct
As Nifty moves higher, its support levels will also adjust upwards, making previous lower support levels less relevant.
"Always remember that your stop your supports will keep on moving accordingly. Okay? So, for example, if you remember, you might have these levels inbuilt in your mind. 23,200 24,800 24 uh 24, uh 300 uh so 23,300 then 22,7800 all these were 500 500 points down right uh but now I'm not going to talk about 22,800 and 23,300 as the markets keep on moving higher my supports will also keep on going higher right so it'll be uh I mean it'll it'll keep on moving"
Correct
When US interest rates are cut, other countries, including India, tend to follow suit to maintain currency exchange rate parity.
"if the interest rates in USA cut typically India will also follow other countries will also follow that is that there is a concept called as interest rate parity like you might have heard about this I'm not sure purchase power parity interest rate par uh interest rate parity uh and uh typically there is a correlation between interest rates and currencies also okay so to maintain the currency exchange rates This is the most simplified version that I can give. To maintain the uh exchange rates between two currencies, interest rates are typically adjusted."
Correct
Silver appears to be a very interesting and promising investment, both on its own and relative to gold.
"silver seems to be very good. Uh I've shown I've seen them both in a single chart as well and silver st stand standalone also looks very good. Uh we have discussed about silver as well as gold. In fact, there is something like a gold to silver ratio also. Uh so yes, silver of course looks looks very very interesting. Very good."
Pending
While PSU stocks and previously strong performers are currently consolidating and out of favor, their fundamentals remain sound.
"be it PSU stocks or uh these stock darlings which which saw a a fantastic runup in in the last year and they're not they're not in the limelight right now. consolidating but nothing is wrong fundamentally. I have I have checked their fundamentals."
Pending
Bank stocks are experiencing a slowdown due to slightly reduced loan growth compared to management guidance, but there are no fundamental issues like rising NPAs.
"there is no increase in GNPA or NNPAS. Uh their loan growth has slowed a little bit as compared to the guidance that the management had given and that is the reason why there is some sort of slowdown but nothing terrible that has happened with these stocks."
Correct
Metrics like Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) are updated quarterly, not daily.
"So the return number will change every quarter. Okay. So it it will change every quarter but not on a day-to-day basis."
Correct