WHY WAS TATA MOTORS DOWN BY 7% TODAY? | CA RACHANA RANADE

"and then we today talk about Q3 and in yesterday's video or I mean the data Motors video I had mentioned that which are the two key two three key points that you should focus on is what I had discussed and today also I'm going to discuss on the same points"

"we had talked about Jaguar not performing properly I told you that you must check what is the what are the fresh numbers for Q3 especially with respect to Jaguar because if you remember in land rower in which includes range row Discovery and whatnot right in land rower cars it was not a demand side issue it was a supply side issue correct so that was not a big one problem was with Jaguar where there was a demand side issue"

"Jlr delivered record third quarter revenue of 7.5 billion pounds okay uh PBT is this much okay one important one amazing Point jlr posted highest ebit margin in last 10 years at 9%"

"tat Motors had talked about a guidance of 88.5% and they have stuck with the guidance of 88.5% ebit margin for the entire Financial year 25 but then if they were to really go ahead with the ebit margin of 88.5% because in Q3 fy4 it was 8.3 now they are at 8.9 agreed but Q 2 fi25 was only 5.6 I hope you're understanding this Q2 fi25 only 5.6 now at 8.9 and for the full year they're saying full year ebit margin should be ideally 88.5% they're maintaining that same guidance if that be so they'll have to specifically take a lot of efforts especially the Jr segment has to really perform well in Q4 if they were to meet this 88.5% margin"

"Q2 F525 versus Q3 a525 amazing jump in the number of range row sold see this is units in thousands so Range Rover sold good no problem amazing Defender good no problem Discovery good no problem where is the problem problem is with Jaguar 12,100 units were sold in Q3 fi 24 and now only 5,600 units sold in Jaguar is that a problem yes okay so does the problem continue for Jaguar answer is yes"

"Revenue guidance for full Financial Year by the management that was given was 30 billion pounds and they have revised it downward to 29 billion pound one billion pound of lower Revenue that's not such a happy revision that's a downward revision of 1 billion pounds of Revenue"

"Q1 fi25 39.1% Q2 F525 37.4% Q3 F525 is at 36.5% that's a little bit painful uh not really happy with this and even if you see year on year it has gone down from 41.7% to 30 9 2.2% and year to date at 37.7% so this one concerns me again I hope the management takes certain steps to ensure that the pace at which they are losing their commercial vehicles market share they are able to make some strategies so that their market share in commercial vehicle space Also revives"

"number of cars sold has increased from one 138,000 so basically 1ak 38,600 to 1 140,000 so that's a good one the overall unit sold have increased"

"EV industry so an increase in registrations by 23% year on year in line with PB industry addition of new products okay so they're saying EV Industries is seeing increase in registrations good"

"punch was the number one model in industry in 2024 continues to remain strong La Market leadership maintained in EV segment despite of growing competition okay fair enough"

"they have also mentioned what are going to be their key priorities they have said that proactively drive demand creation that is what we are saying right they have to ensure that they're creating demand for Jr and in Jr also specifically for Jaguar so see the same point I said that if we understand this obviously they also going to understand that so it'll be just important to see as to how they are able to actually execute it they have understood I mean they they know it why should I say they have understood I understood they they know it already it's their company right uh but um good to see that they have specifically you know penned down their key priorities how they want to improve and also if you remember I I said the reducing market share is something that that you know bothers me they have also mentioned they want to improve their market share also"

"important now land rower problem solved I'm suming this up okay important now land rower problem was supply side is that is soled Jaguar was a demand issue not it soled"

"you have to specifically ensure that you are checking these points number one whether the demand demand is is more for Jaguar so how will I understand demand basically sale number has to improve for Jaguar okay number two CV they are losing out market share their market share has to go up and even CV Top Line again has to improve a little bit more number three if I'm talking about PV sales problem seems to be solved I mean they are getting more volumes but profitability problem is not solved to a great extent because they are right now selling more cars by giving more and more discounts so we'll have to see whether they are able to you know take away the discount slowly and steadily yet increase the sale of car so that'll be interesting to watch so again last time Jaguar problem needs to be solved CV uh the market share problem need to be solved and for PV they're able to crack the sales but they have to try and do it with lesser discounts uh the profitability problem needs to be solved"

"and of course as I said right if you're talking about any specific stock we can definitely go on screener and we can check something like an OPM we can check Roe Roc a lot of things can be checked right"

"underlying domestic demand to improve gradually on account of infrastructure spend s of exciting products launches and stable interest rates they're saying what lies ahead because see this is important what lies ahead number one they're saying ideally domestic demand to improve gradually on account of infrastructure spend see simple if infrastructure spends increase the overall industry activity will increase if that happens demand for commercial vehicles will revive SLE of exciting product launches so if they come up with exciting product launches ideally top line for PVE should ideally increase and stable interest rates if stable interest rates not a problem if they are lowed will be definitely better for a company like tat mot basically any automobile company see if interest rates are lower it it will mean that uh the the customers will be able to take a loan at a lower interest rate and that is the reason why the demand for automobiles can increase"

"and in that it is very clearly mentioned uh let me just see if I can pull out the exact screenshot for you one second uh just give me a second I just circular is a big one excuse me got it perfect so going back yesterday only sebi came up with a circular and sebi has very clearly mentioned that if a regulated entity wants to be associated with any other person then certain rules and regulations have been put forth okay there are some exceptions there are some rules and regulations in it basically it is mentioned see SE is for for for what for investor education and investor protection also correct unfortunately it was seen that there are a lot of people who are giving investment advice and investment advice is being given even though people are not registered"

"the word influencer does not appear in the circular the word influencer does not even appear in the FAQs of the circular and how come how come it is it is being said that this is for influencers only I mean I'm surprised just to make headlines people are using such words without even reading through properly I mean I don't understand why is this being done this applies for any person who is doing this any person who is giving advice without being registered is doing something which is not allowed by S it's not only for influencers it can be for any damn person can I say any damn person including influencers why should I say that any person is any person right so any person who is giving advice or any person is making claims because of me you were able to generate so much profit and this that that's not allowed okay and if if there are such category of people who are doing this regulated entities are not allowed to associate with these people okay"

"distinguishes education and advice or recommendation a person engaged solely in education shall mean that such person is not engaged in any of the two prohibitory two prohibited activities which two prohibited activities I already told you giving advice is one activity and second I have also before before I move on see I always believe that whenever I'm I'm telling anything I should be the person who has read it who has read everything properly see this this is what is the main circular all about this is about the 10 pager FAQ this was the original consultation paper and these are all the notes"

"such persons should not be using the market price data of the preceding three months to speak speak talk display the name of any security including using any code name of the security in his or her talk speech video ticker screen share Etc indicating the future price advice or recommendation related to security or security"

"indexes excluded from the definition of Securities okay so can I show Nifty data yes can I show sectoral indicis data yes so for example Bank Nifty uh or or Nifty Auto so sectoral indices are also not a problem security security so for stocks I will not be able to show you trading view screen screen share for now from now unless and until we get a further clarification"

"so immediate resistance on the upward side is 23628 based on 200 de line okay 23,6128 good point that we can see here"

"ideally if I were the Finance Minister okay if I were the Finance Minister first things first ideally basic exemption limit should have been increased I would have increased okay even uh I think the 30% tax lab see I'm not into taxation right even but even the 30% tax lab if I'm not mistaken starts at 15 lakhs onwards please correct me if I'm wrong 30% tax lab comes at 15 lakhs and onwards I feel that there should be one more smaller tax lab between let's say 15 to 20 or 15 to 25 lakhs there will be a lot of people who will be in that range as well and uh if that be so again some some tax will be saved ultimately saving of tax for an individual is going to be higher consumption higher consumption will ultimately drive more demand if more demand is there in the system it will lead to more production everything will be good for the economy right"

"if if they they can make some changes in the taxation related to capital gains also if that be so it can be good for the market we want fiis to stop selling and uh you know that can also be considered uh of course that will not have an impact on the economy I totally understand that but something related to stock market also needs to be taken care of right"

"technical analysis will be excluded okay till now there was no clarification from sebi that you are not allowed to do technical analysis but now if sebi has mentioned in one of the FAQs that yes last three months data is what you you're not allowed to talk on if you are into education I will I will abide by that in fact the stock of the month has been short uh but I'm going to edit out uh the part of tech techical analysis uh in fact I have also shot a video on Geo Finance on your demand uh because Geo Finance has also been falling like anything and everyone requested me to do a video on Geo Finance I've I've already shot a video on geof finance I had talked about the technicals I'm going to cut that because last three months data was included in the technical analysis of Goo Finance"

"see always remember if I'm talking about fundamental analysis this is about the previous quarterly datas it's it's not about it can't be predictive in nature huh then what about if management has given Outlook or management has given Outlook it is there in the public domain I'm not interpreting anything okay so even in fundamental anal is if it is a predictive in nature based on something which is given by the management so for example like in case of tataa Motors data Motors had said that uh our ebit margins or iida margins will be in 88.5% range management has said that that's okay if I'm telling that absolutely fine not a problem at all"

"Nifty is allowed index is allowed security Securities is not allowed let's go to trading view let's go to Nifty levels"

"I truly expect that there'll be some relief uh for the basic exemption limit as well and even for a high kind of a higher tax lab from 15 lakhs if if that's at the 30% tax lab some will be uh for 15 so 15 lakh to 20 lakh ideally there there should be some some breather"

"so maybe in the next upcoming live streams we can focus more on long-term charts rather than daily charts or weekly charts monthly charts with last three candles exactly abishek you are you are coming on to the point there are so many people who are on telegram uh different WhatsApp groups who who promotee such things and uh you know don't even I mean they don't they are not registered so to curb them maybe such such such circulars have to come in place"