Top 5 Reasons Why Market is Falling! | CA Rachana Ranade
Published: 2025-01-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-01-13
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The recent market selloff is primarily driven by rising crude oil prices.
"I personally feel this biggest round of selloff that has that has been freshly triggered right now is mainly due to crude oil."
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The Indian Rupee is expected to weaken and potentially reach all-time lows.
"Rupee Falls to alltime lows in such cases. USD INR comparison we always say that rupe is weakened."
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The speaker plans to invest a portion of their investable surplus if the market falls to the 22,800 level.
"if Market goes closer to 22800 I'm going to personally invest a part of my total investable Surplus right now into the market"
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The next significant support level for Nifty is expected to be between 22,800 and 23,000.
"So now the next big support is at 22,800 to 23,000"
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The Biden administration is imposing sanctions and duties on crude oil, making Russian oil more expensive, as a final policy action before leaving office.
"he wants to say that see even I am playing my part even I am you know imposing uh restrictions even I imposing duties on crude oil so that you know it is not easily accessible America first he has to prove a point and that is the reason why Russian oil is becoming more and more expensive because of the sanctions that are being put on Russia okay so that is kind of a final blow that Biden is trying to do before he goes out from office"
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Donald Trump, upon resuming office, is expected to continue or increase sanctions, particularly on crude oil, reinforcing his 'America First' policy.
"whenever he starts office he would want to he would want to make it loud and clear that see my America First policies are always there and they will always remain in in the future as well so he would also do something which increases more and more sanctions especially on items like crude oil"
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High inflation may lead to a pause or delay in interest rate cuts, resulting in higher borrowing costs and a potential slowdown in India's economic growth.
"but now the entire reverse situation because inflation is high there are less chances of rate cut if there are less chances of red cut again the borrowing cost will be high if borrowing cost will be high then the pace at which India will grow can again slow down"
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Rising inflation could lead to a halt in interest rate cuts.
"if inflation increases one more very important point which is rate Cuts we may see a halt in rate Cuts"
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Q3 results from IT companies have provided some confidence and hope for the IT sector.
"we have seen a Q3 result of it companies uh that gave some sort of confidence and some sort of uh you know hopes in the it sector"
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The year 2025 is anticipated to be a bumpy ride for the stock market, with a significant portion of the year experiencing volatility.
"I believe that it could be a bumpy ride okay the whole I mean some some major part of 2025 could be a bumpy ride"
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The immediate support level for Nifty at 23,200 has been broken.
"I had mentioned that 23,200 is the immediate next support is what I had told and this support was broken today"
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The Indian Rupee is currently at its weakest point, which may be confused with an all-time high in some charts.
"rupee is again at an alltime uh High basically it's it's weak is what because people may get confused in high and low rupes weakest right now"
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A cooling off in crude oil prices is expected to be the first trigger for a positive sentiment in the market and economy.
"The moment crude oil starts to cool off a little bit I feel that is going to be our first trigger point for economy I mean for overall positive sentiment in the market"
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The emergence of positive triggers will signal an initial recovery in the market.
"once you see some positive triggers coming in that could be an initial sign of markets recovering a little bit"
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The Indian economy is currently in a difficult position but is expected to resolve over time.
"economy is in a kind of a bad position right now this will resolve with time"
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