ilmscore | He got 128% Returns in 2024 | The 1% Club Show Ep 61

Predictions from this Video

Total: 50
Correct: 29
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 19
Unrated: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker will discuss sectors expected to perform well in the next three years.
"What are those sectors that will benefit really well?"
Sectors to benefit
Pending
The speaker will identify sectors poised for significant growth in the upcoming three years.
"what sectors are set to boom in the next 3 years"
Sectors to boom
Correct
The stock market infrastructure sector is identified as a promising area for investment.
"So uh so the infrastructure behind the stock market the stock market infrastructure sector to be precise."
Stock market infrastructure
Pending
Companies in the wealth management and Asset Management Company (AMC) sectors are considered favorable investments.
"Very good wealth managers AMC companies they look good to me."
Wealth managers and AMC companies
Pending
The pharmaceutical industry is predicted to be the primary beneficiary of the 'China plus one' strategy.
"So the first person who will be able to take advantage of China plus one will be the pharmaceutical industry."
Pharmaceuticals sector growth
Correct
Leading companies in the capital expenditure (Capex) sector, with strong order books and the ability to convert them into earnings, are expected to generate significant returns at a discount.
"Now the leaders among them who are doing real businesses on ground and will be able to translate their order books into earnings over the next few years. These will be the people that will make money from here and now you're getting them at a discount."
Capital expenditure (Capex) stocks
Pending
The fertilizer and seeds sectors are identified as having good investment potential.
"So I believe there is a good scope in the um fertilizer sector. There is some good scope in the seeds sector"
Fertilizer and seeds sector
Correct
New age consumption sectors, including fast-moving fashion, food delivery, and grocery delivery, are expected to be popular investments in the coming years due to visible earnings and a positive outlook.
"and uh somewhere the new age consumption something like fastmoving fashion or u delivery of food or groceries to your home. Um I believe these sectors are you know um should be the flavor for the next few years because we are seeing earnings visibility in them. We're not seeing any problem going forward."
New age consumption sectors
Correct
The speaker's fund has approximately 20% allocation to pharmaceuticals, and a combined 20% to the hospital and hotel industries.
"So around I would say uh we'll be around 20% in pharmaceuticals. Okay. Okay. We like the hospital hospital industry a lot. Hotel industry a lot. So all these hospitals and hotels would be around 20%."
Healthcare sector allocation
Pending
Approximately 20% of the fund's allocation is in capital expenditure (Capex) value stocks.
"And then you know capeex value would be around 20"
Capex value allocation
Pending
Around 15% of the fund is allocated to the stock market infrastructure sector.
"and then uh stock market would be around 15"
Stock market infrastructure allocation
Pending
Electric Vehicle (EV) and Data Centers are identified as future growth sectors, with significant companies expected to emerge over the next decade, although they are currently underdeveloped in India.
"I think they are the future for sure. Some very wonderful companies we'll see in the next one decade but right now we are seeing we aren't seeing much."
EV and Data Centers as future sectors
Pending
Ather Energy is considered the best-run two-wheeler electric vehicle (EV) company in India and possesses significant capability.
"I think Ather has the capability. For me Ather is the best run two-heer EV company in India."
Ather Energy potential
Correct
New age internet companies are seen as innovative businesses that are transforming the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector.
"Um I think wonderful, wonderful businesses, very very good business. Something at the end somebody in India did think out of the box and created something and um I think they changing the way of FMCG."
New age internet companies' business model
Correct
Zepto and Zomato are viewed as a greater threat to Hindustan Unilever (HUL) than declining consumer incomes, due to their ability to influence consumer purchasing decisions.
"I think Hul should be more afraid of uh Zeppto Zomato than they should be afraid of uh declining incomes of Indian consumer because you will buy what they'll show you."
Zepto and Zomato's impact on FMCG
Correct
Marketplace companies have the potential to launch their own brands, leading to good profit margins.
"And eventually these marketplace companies can launch their own brand. Very good, very good margins also."
Marketplace companies launching own brands
Correct
India's delivery speed for food and groceries (within 20-25 minutes, and even 15 minutes for some Zomato orders) provides a significant advantage compared to other regions like Dubai.
"Here in India, it's there within 20 minutes, 20 25 minutes. You have you have 15 minutes eats also from Zomato now."
Indian delivery speed advantage
Correct
The speaker currently focuses investment research on only two global markets: the United States and India.
"So for me currently there are only two markets in the world okay that is what I spe I researched what are they US and India"
US and India as investment markets
Pending
The Chinese stock market is not expected to flourish due to a lack of trust and is unlikely to perform well under communist governments, despite China's economic growth.
"I don't think stock markets in China will ever flourish. Okay. Yeah. See, China um India is 10x of what they were at 2008 lows. Okay. China is still there. As a economy, has China not done well since 2008? It has. It has. Right. But their stock market has not reflected it. Why? Why? Lack of trust. Where there will be lack of trust, there will be no stock market. You'll never see stock markets uh excel or do wonders in communist governments."
China stock market outlook
Incorrect
India has experienced a tenfold increase in value since its 2008 lows, indicating significant growth.
"India is 10x of what they were at 2008 lows. China is still there."
India's growth potential
Correct
Democracy and demography are key factors driving the speaker's preference for investing in the US and India.
"So democracy demography that is why I like these two countries US and India."
Investment criteria: Democracy and Demography
Correct
The US is attractive because it draws in highly skilled and intelligent individuals from around the globe, fostering meritocracy.
"Why? because it attracts a lot of meritocracy a lot the US guys. So these two companies basically the smartest young people from all over the world migrate to us."
US attractiveness to meritocracy
Correct
Public sector companies have been significant wealth creators over the past two years.
"and you know the last 2 years if we see the public sectors have been the majority of wealth creators."
Public sector companies' wealth creation
Correct
The speaker will outline their long-term investment philosophy, referencing a 44% CAGR achieved over five years.
"So maybe you can talk about your investing philosophy on how to invest for the long term because even on a 5year basis you gotten a 44% CGR."
Long-term investment strategy for retail investors
Pending
Retail investors should avoid using leverage (loans or derivatives) because they believe they lack sufficient capital.
"So for retail investors I would say firstly um there is a myth that retail investors have that I do not have the required capital so I have to trade I have to take leverage so first of all do not take leverage in the market"
Retail investors: Avoid leverage
Correct
Mutual funds are considered among the best investment products available.
"Secondly I would say that mutual funds are one of the best they are actually one of the best products out there"
Mutual Funds as investment products
Pending
Successful investing requires significant effort, the development of a personal investment philosophy, and cannot be achieved by simply following tips or channels.
"Shahan investing is something which requires a lot of hard work you know it's very easy to go click a button and buy and then you know follow some tips and buy and then follow a channel and buy but that doesn't work in the long run ultimately you need to have your own mantra your own philosophy"
Investing requires hard work and own philosophy
Correct
A critical factor for successful investing is ensuring that an individual's psychology aligns with their chosen investment style.
"The problem is that your psychology has to match with the investment style."
Matching psychology with investment style
Correct
The stock market is likened to a school with a high tuition fee, as losses are an inevitable part of the learning process.
"So I would say that uh for what I've learned stock market is a school where fees is very very high. You have to give in your you know you there are losses that you will make"
Stock market as a costly school
Correct
It is crucial to develop an investment strategy that allows one to withstand market downturns.
"Firstly uh you should always always always develop a strategy through which you can live the downturns"
Developing a strategy for downturns
Correct
Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) are recommended as the primary investment strategy for retail investors.
"So I think SIPs is the way forward. SIPs is the way forward."
SIPs for retail investors
Correct
When selecting mutual funds, it is more important to focus on and follow the fund manager rather than just the fund itself.
"I think the best way is to follow the fund manager not the fund."
Fund manager focus for mutual fund selection
Pending
Younger investors should consider slightly riskier investment options because they have a longer time horizon to recover from potential losses.
"And among that, if you're a younger investor, choose a little risky one because you can afford risks earlier in life"
Risky investments for younger investors
Correct
Investors nearing retirement should opt for balanced funds with lower drawdowns, where the focus is on capital preservation rather than aggressive growth.
"and you if you are someone you know um in at a retirement age, so you choose fund which is more balanced, a fund which is the draw downs are lesser. the fund manager is talking more about you know capital protection than capital growth."
Balanced funds for retirement age investors
Correct
Investors must understand the potential drawdowns of their investments and should inquire about historical drawdown data from fund managers.
"so somewhere you have to realize what the draw downs are and you should clearly ask your fund managers that tell me what my draw down is what is the probable draw downs tell me a history about all the draw downs that I have"
Understanding drawdowns
Correct
Analyzing historical Net Asset Values (NAVs) is essential for making informed investment decisions.
"Absolutely. You should analyze NAVs. I think everybody should have a data about how NAVs have done in the past"
Analyzing NAVs for investment decisions
Correct
The speaker will recommend specific fund managers known for their strong performance, risk-taking, and innovative work.
"So for someone like you who is in this industry, any names that you really like and people should follow who you think are really doing some phenomenal work, making good returns and you know taking some kind of risk as well?"
Following fund managers
Pending
Parag Parikh's funds are recommended for a balanced approach, characterized by a deep-rooted psychology and brilliant management.
"Mr. Parak Parik his psychology has been very very deep rooted into the fund he has. Okay. So if you're looking for a very balanced fund I think parakarik fund is one of those funds where uh you know u very very brilliant minds managing it."
Parag Parikh's investment philosophy
Correct
Quant MF is recognized for its strong performance and for introducing innovative elements to the mutual fund industry.
"And then uh I believe somewhere quant MF is doing pretty well has brought something new to the table for the mutual fund uh uh industry."
Quant MF innovation
Correct
Younger investors are advised to consider funds and fund managers that focus on companies within the top 200 by market capitalization.
"And then personally for younger investors I would say look at the funds and fund managers who are focusing trying to focus out of the top 200 companies out there."
Focus on top 200 companies for younger investors
Pending
The increasing adoption of AI is leading to significant operational efficiencies, allowing fewer employees to handle more work, resulting in a reduction of job openings.
"the same number of people are able to do more work than before. Absolutely. So even though the requirements are increasing of the business, we are able to get it done through the same number of people. So the number of job openings have dramatically reduced for my company."
AI's impact on job creation and efficiency
Correct
The speaker's thesis is that the shrinking middle class in India will lead to a smaller market for middle-class focused businesses, while luxury goods companies will benefit as the wealthy become even wealthier.
"So my thesis is that the the market for the middle class segment the businesses which are focusing on the middle class companies or middle- class people will eventually become smaller and smaller because middle class is shrinking in India and people who are and the companies which are focusing on luxury items those will benefit really well because the rich will get richer that's just my thesis"
Shrinking middle class and luxury market growth
Pending
The AI revolution is expected to create new jobs, similar to the impact of computers in the 2000s, although it will require adaptation and harder work to integrate with AI.
"this AI which is coming into will create new jobs of course there will be fractions of course you'll have to work more hard to see how AI uh to you know uh to work with AI what new jobs need to be uh introd reduced but ultimately as the computers did back in 2000s the AI revolution will do for the next few years"
AI revolution and job creation
Correct
The defense sector in India is considered underrated and has significant growth potential.
"Uh I still feel so. Okay. Uh Parak Parik's one lesson that changed your thinking forever."
Defense sector underrated
Correct
The core investing principle emphasized is capital preservation, as capital is considered the most valuable asset.
"Respect money. Capital is the only real thing that you have. If you lose the capital, you'll be left with nothing. So capital preservation."
Capital preservation as a core principle
Pending
Growth is identified as the single most important data point to consider before making an investment.
"If you could only use one data point before investing, what would it be? Only one. I think it'll be growth."
Growth as a key data point
Pending
Management quality is highlighted as the most significant red flag when analyzing a company.
"Biggest red flag when you're analyzing a company. Management."
Management as a red flag
Pending
Investors often fall into value traps by investing in fallen stocks without assessing their future earnings visibility.
"I think people fall a lot into value traps. If something has fallen 40%. Everybody ventures into it without understanding is there earnings visibility for the next couple of years or not."
Avoiding value traps
Correct
'One Upon Wall Street' is recommended as a must-read book for young investors.
"Which book do you recommend to every young investor? Uh for me it is One Upon Wall Street."
Recommended book for young investors
Pending
The speaker enjoys the growth investing stage the most.
"Value, growth, quality or safety? Which stage do you enjoy the most? Growth."
Enjoyment of growth investing
Unrated
Experience is identified as the most significant advantage in investing.
"Finish this sentence. In investing the biggest edge is experience."
Experience as the biggest investing edge
Pending