Ultimate F&O Trading Masterclass- ft. Univest CEO | 1% Club Show Ep 58
Published: 2025-04-23
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-04-23
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 4
Prediction
Topic
Status
A crypto division achieved 192% returns in the previous year.
"Last year, their return was about 192%."
Pending
A crypto division achieved 134% returns the year before last.
"And last to last year is what I've been told is 134%."
Pending
The speaker achieved a CAGR of 34-35% in FNO trading since 2016.
"So caggr would be about%. Wow. You achieved returns in the last 15 years like not 15 I would say that since 2016 uh that would be the kind of CHR which I would be 35% CR 34 to 35%."
Pending
It takes 3-6 months to gain a basic understanding of FNO trading through paper trading.
"So I think a three month to six month kind of basic understanding of this implementing in paper trading again and again trading."
Pending
Beginners should invest zero in FNO trading until they have learned the basics.
"if I have 10 lakhs of savings, I'm making 1 lakh rupees per month. How much should I start investing in FNO trading? Got it. FNO trading unless and until you start learn unless and until you are not learning, I would say zero."
Correct
With 10 lakhs, a potential allocation strategy after learning FNO is: 10-15% in FDs, 10-15% in Gold ETFs, 15-20% in real estate (if capital allows), and 40-60% in stock markets (including mutual funds and direct stocks).
"if I have 10 lakhs of savings, how much should I put into FNO um okay so how I would like to put it let's say if I have learned and I am putting it on myself this is not a suggestion again to anyone else but how I would like to do ism liquid money what I would do is 10 lakhs of saving I would still put 10 to 15% of my money in FDS okay for my immediate needs. Second part of the story is the gold ETFs and all that kind of stuff. Right. That I would put at least another 10 to 15% of my money over there as well. Third is your real estate part. Real estate of course in 10 lakhs in India now you cannot do anything. Yeah. But if I had a bigger amount I would have put in at least 15 to 20% there as well. Finally, 40 to 50% of my money will be for stock markets. For my kind of risk profiling, I would put at least 50% of the money in stock markets or even 60%."
Pending
A risk-taking investor should allocate no more than 15-20% of their net worth directly to FNO, which translates to 1 to 2 lakhs for a 10 lakh portfolio.
"if I am a very risk-taking investor finally how much% of my total net worth should be directly in FNO not more than 15 to 20%. Not more than 15 to 20% 100%. So if I have 10 lakh rupees no matter how great of a trader I think I am not more than one one and a half lakh should go into one and a half to two lakhs is the maximum which you should be deploying if you have 10 lakhs"
Pending
Invested 40 lakhs in a large-cap automotive stock during COVID (which dropped from 300-320 to 60-65 levels), and exited at 850 levels after 3-4 years, resulting in approximately 15-16x returns (6-7 crores profit).
"And I went all bonkers in that particular stock. How much did you invest? So I invested about 40 odd lakhs in that particular stock. ... and we exited at about 850 within 3 and 4 years I think that is the kind of money we kind of was that what 20x yes almost 2025 5x kind of returns 40 lakhs became 10 crores. Yes. So 16 I think sorry uh it was 15x 15 or 16x but we kind of uh made about yes almost uh 6 to 7 crores from that particular single trade in the matter of 4 years."
Pending
The speaker places strict stop-losses on every trade and cuts losses early to avoid further losses due to hope.
"I place very very strict stop-losses on every single trade of mine. ... you cut your losses at a very small length so that you don't have to go too far in a hope that the company will do too well and this particular trade will do well. Doesn't matter."
Pending
A common mistake for newbie investors is not knowing when to cut losses, driven by 'hope over data', leading to significant losses.
"So you're saying would you say that this is one of the biggest mistakes that a newbie retail investor would do that they don't know when to cut their losses 100%. Hope over data is the biggest reason why people lose a lot of money in the markets in hope that one day this particular trade will work and today I am losing 5% maybe tomorrow at 5% profit I will cut people end up losing 50%."
Correct
Financial discipline in trading includes position sizing, where typically 5-10% of capital is risked per trade (with exceptions for black swan events).
"When I say financial discipline it basically means one position sizing ... for example in a particular trade I will not put X percentage of more than money for me it is about 5 to 10% barring those once you know for example black swan events trade for example 40% capital"
Correct
New traders should risk no more than 5% of their capital per trade to minimize the impact of losses.
"In fact, uh I would say that for a newbie, you should not even be putting in more than 5%. So that losses typically p pinches people or fu"
Correct
To achieve 15-18% annual returns, portfolio rebalancing is recommended at least once every two months.
"To generate 15 to 18% returns annually you need to have the discipline to rebalance your portfolio at least once every two months."
Incorrect
In 2023-2024, defense sector stocks experienced extremely high valuations, trading at 60-100 multiples, driven by positive government sentiment and export potential.
"If you look at in 2024 2023, India will be the in-house manufacturer. We'll be the global exporters and blah blah blah blah blah. The valuations went crazy like they were trading at almost 100 multiples, 80 multiples, 60 multiples. Those kind of multiples the companies were trading at."
Incorrect
Defense sector stocks began to decline when news emerged about delays in raw material supply, indicating that the previously high valuations were unsustainable.
"But unfortunately, these valuations are not sustainable. And when the news started coming in that the manufacturer or the raw materials supplier to these defense companies are actually delaying the raw materials for the defense companies, the stock started taking a hit like anything."
Correct
Investors in the defense sector should exit if fundamental news negatively impacts the stock, rather than waiting for future returns, and rebalancing should occur after quarterly results or significant negative news.
"At that point in time if you are already invested in defense sector stocks then at that point in time maybe you should take a move and not wait for the next one year that it will fetch me return. The people who did not wait and after every quarter when they realized or news already which is going to impact the stock fundamentally then you should take exit from that stock."
Correct
The speaker is not satisfied with the 12-13% CAGR typical of mutual funds and chooses to invest more actively.
"If you think that you are okay with 12 13% kind of caggr 100% yes please go ahead but personally I am not okay. So so that's why I don't go ahead and invest a lot."
Pending
Small-cap focused funds have experienced significant portfolio declines (30-40%) due to a 27% drop in the small-cap index over the past 6-7 months.
"the more small cap uh focused companies the more small cap focused funds have actually seen their portfolios going down by 30 35 40% also because small cap index in itself in the last 6 7 months have dropped by almost 27%."
Incorrect
Derivative trading allows investors to leverage their positions, investing more than their capital, potentially leading to profits exceeding the initial investment.
"derivative trading, just to make it as simple as possible, allows you to invest in a company and leverage your position. Meaning you can invest more than what you have. ... And if you are correct then your profit could be more than what you've invested itself."
Correct
In Indian markets, futures trading typically offers leverage of 5x to 6x.
"What is the highest X you can get in Indian markets? Uh typically it is 5x 6x. Okay. Let's say if I give that example in futures it is 5x 6x typically."
Correct
An intraday FNO trade yielded 57.69% returns (approximately 2,000 rupees profit).
"I made today I put before coming here I made 57.69% returns in one day. ... the returns are so much and I have a 2,000 rupees uh profit."
Pending
A Nifty put option, bought at 5-6 rupees for 50,000-60,000 rupees, became 370-400 rupees within the last hour of a weekly expiry day, resulting in 37.5 lakhs profit (a 75x return).
"So there was one of the weekly expiries when the markets were booming like anything and it was like 2 and a half% up in a single day. ... I bought a put option um which I bought of Nifty at that particular point in time. I think it was hardly five or six rupees which I bought it at. I and I hardly invested what 50 60,000 rupees at that point in time. ... that five six rupees put option that went on to become about 400 or 370 rupees. ... that 50,000 became 37 lakhs in one day."
Pending
The probability of winning for option sellers is approximately 66%.
"Is it always seen that the probability in option selling is about probability of winning is almost 66%."
Correct
Option sellers tend to make more money in the market, as option buyers often start with an immediate loss, while sellers profit even in sideways markets.
"Option sellers are the ones who make more money in the markets. ... option seller even if there is a sideways market option seller ... the option buyer is already immediately sitting at a loss."
Correct
A higher India Volatility Index (VIX) leads to higher premiums for options.
"higher the VIX the higher is the premium of any particular call or put"
Correct
Option sellers profit from sideways markets because they sell at a premium, while option buyers face immediate losses.
"option seller even if there is a sideways market option seller ... the option seller immediately makes the money because they're selling at a premium. Whereas the option buyer is already immediately sitting at a loss."
Correct
Professional traders, including those at Uniwest, use hedging and other strategies as a full-time occupation.
"this is what professional traders do 100% this is that this is a full-time job for them and this is exactly what we do at unvest also"
Correct
Uniwest's annual revenue grew from 72 lakhs in FY22-23 to approximately 20 crores in FY23-24, with a projection of around 80 crores for FY24-25.
"we went from 72 lakhs to 18 20 odd crores last year I mean this is 2324 in 2425 again we have grown multiple x we'll be releasing ing our 72 lakhs was your annual revenue in 2223 our annual revenue was only 72 lakhs. Okay. In 2324 our annual revenue was around 20 CRS. In okay 2425 our annual revenue is going to be somewhere around 80 odd CRS."
Pending
Uniwest offers access to market research for less than 4 rupees per day.
"what we have brought down to is less than 4 rupees a day. Wow. One can actually get access to the market. 4 rupees per day."
Pending
Uniwest's research team includes their CTO, formerly from a London-based AI analytics company with 20 years of experience, and a strong group of data scientists and PhD holders.
"So our CTO is Mr. Vikas Agarval. He is ex CTO of one of the London based AI analytics company. 20 years experience into this domain. ... we have a very strong team of uh data scientists and PhD holders who are basically helping us build these kind of algorithms."
Correct
A hypothetical scenario where US President Trump imposes 25% tariffs on China could significantly reduce China's demand for metals, impacting global consumption (e.g., aluminum, where China accounts for 37% of world consumption).
"US Mr. Trump the tariff Trump guy he suddenly says that you know China 25% tariffs just say there is a projection that China key demand for metals why because China is one of the biggest exporters and the consumer of both metals across the world they are the 37% consumpt consumers like 37% of the world consumption is happening in China for example aluminium"
Pending
The speaker regrets selling Coaching Shipyard after making 8-10% on a couple of trades and exiting at 300-350 rupees, as the stock later went up to 2,800 rupees.
"I booked 8 10% couple of times and did not think it from a long-term perspective and at 300 350 I ended up my entire journey with coaching internship. ... And it went up to 2,800 bucks."
Incorrect
The speaker's investment style is inspired by Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's blend of trading and long-term investing, mirroring his own approach of using trading profits for long-term investments.
"I would still choose Rakkesh Junjunwala ... because of the great mix of a trader and a long-term investor which he had those kind of traits in himself. ... my investment style you know definitely is inspired by Mr. Raj."
Pending
The speaker avoids carrying overnight positions in FNO, typically deploying 1-7 lakhs depending on available time and market clarity, with 97-98% of trades being intraday.
"I don't carry overnight positions. So I my strategy is like like 97 98% I do not carry my overnight positions. ... If I have time I put in like five to seven lakhs. If I do not have time ... then I will just deploy one lakh to two lakh rupees in that particular strategy and just keep on waiting. So yeah I mean but I 97 98% of my trades I do not carry it overnight."
Correct