ilmscore | Trump vs. The Fed Just Got UGLIER

Trump vs. The Fed Just Got UGLIER

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Wall Street confidently expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates in September, despite recent hotter-than-expected inflation data.
"And right now, Wall Street very confidently believes that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start cutting interest rates in September, even though inflation has come in hotter."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
Anticipation of lower interest rates in 2026, driven by a likely replacement of Jerome Powell by President Trump with someone who will aggressively cut rates.
"So whether or not we see aggressive interest rate cuts in 2025 really doesn't matter too much because there's a very high chance based off of what we hear that President Trump is going to replace Jerome Powell in 2026 with somebody who's going to aggressively cut interest rates. So we can anticipate that in 2026 we will likely see lower interest rates."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
Corporate bankruptcies in 2025 are reaching levels not seen since the end of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.
"In fact, if you look at the bankruptcy numbers, we've been seeing some of the highest corporate bankruptcies in 2025 that we have seen since the tail end of the 2008 great financial crisis."
Corporate Bankruptcies
Pending
An aggressive drop in mortgage rates is predicted to lead to a surge in refinances and potentially an increase in home buying and housing prices.
"And yes, if we do see an aggressive drop in mortgage rates, you'll probably see a surge in refinances. Maybe we would see a surge in buying. Maybe that would cause housing prices to go up."
Mortgage Rates
Pending
Companies such as lenders and banks are expected to benefit from lower interest rates, with an anticipated surge in refinance revenue due to increased refinancing of debts.
"Because there are certain companies that will benefit from lower interest rates. Things like lenders, things like banks. And this has been talked about in the news very recently. But you might have seen that certain lender related companies have been seeing a lot of growth recently because investors are anticipating that once we start to see lower interest rates, people will want to refinance all of their debts, all of their car loans, all of their mortgage loans, and that's going to create a surge in refinance revenue."
Interest Rate Sensitive Stocks
Pending
Wall Street predicts the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
"Wall Street very confidently believes that the Federal Reserve Bank is going to start cutting interest rates in September."
Interest Rate Cuts
Pending
Jerome Powell's term expires in 2026, and it's likely he will be replaced by someone more inclined to aggressively cut interest rates, as desired by President Trump.
"Jerome Powell, who is the chairman at the Federal Reserve Bank, is going to have his term expire in 2026. Well, when his term expires, it's very likely that he is going to be replaced just based off of the things that we've heard from President Trump. And if he's replaced, President Trump will probably want to replace him with somebody who is much more likely to cut interest rates aggressively."
Jerome Powell's Replacement
Pending
Lower interest rates are anticipated in 2026 due to President Trump likely replacing Jerome Powell with someone who favors rate cuts.
"So we can anticipate that in 2026 we will likely see lower interest rates. Why? Because President Trump will likely replace Jerome Powell when his term expires with somebody who will want to do that."
Interest Rates in 2026
Pending
Corporate bankruptcies in 2025 are at their highest levels since the end of the 2008 financial crisis.
"In fact, if you look at the bankruptcy numbers, we've been seeing some of the highest corporate bankruptcies in 2025 that we have seen since the tail end of the 2008 great financial crisis."
Corporate Bankruptcies
Pending
Lender and bank-related companies are experiencing growth due to anticipation of lower interest rates leading to a surge in debt refinances.
"Because there are certain companies that will benefit from lower interest rates. Things like lenders, things like banks. And this has been talked about in the news very recently. But you might have seen that certain lender related companies have been seeing a lot of growth recently because investors are anticipating that once we start to see lower interest rates, people will want to refinance all of their debts, all of their car loans, all of their mortgage loans, and that's going to create a surge in refinance revenue."
Lender and Bank Growth
Pending