Watch This Before July 9 - Liberation Day 2.0
Published: 2025-07-02
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-07-02
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The upcoming tariff announcement on July 9th is significant due to the stock market reaching new record highs.
"Especially because the stock market is breaking new record highs which makes this tariff announcement so important."
Pending
President Trump imposed a 25% tariff on assembled vehicles and a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum from Mexico.
"President Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on assembled vehicles that are coming into the United States from Mexico and a 50% tariff on metals like steel and aluminum that are coming into the United States from Mexico."
Pending
President Trump doubled the tariff on steel and aluminum from Canada from 25% to 50%.
"President Trump has doubled the tariff on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%"
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Canada's digital services tax of approximately 3% on US technology prompted President Trump to announce new tariffs on Canada.
"Canada passed a new tax, the digital services tax, which would have imposed a around 3% tax on technology from the United States into Canada. President Trump did not like that. And as soon as that tax was passed in Canada, President Trump announced that he was going to be launching brand new tariffs on Canada."
Pending
The US will charge a baseline 30% tariff on goods from China, and China will charge a baseline 10% tariff on goods from the US.
"the United States will now charge a baseline around 30% tariff on goods coming into the United States from China and China will charge around a baseline 10% tariffs on goods going into China from the United States."
Pending
The US has imposed a 25% tariff on trucks imported from Japan.
"the United States has put on a 25% tariff on trucks coming into the United States from Japan"
Pending
President Trump has threatened 50% tariffs on machinery and automobiles from the EU if a deal is not reached soon.
"President Trump again to put some pressure on the European Union has essentially threatened 50% tariffs on machinery and automobiles if a deal is not reached soon."
Pending
The US trade deficit was estimated to be around $1 trillion in 2024.
"By 2024, it is estimated that we had around a $1 trillion trade deficit, meaning we're relying more on those foreign countries than they are relying on us."
Pending
The US is projected to generate between $300 billion and $600 billion in tax revenue from tariffs in 2025.
"in 2025, we don't know exactly how much we're going to generate, but according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bassant, we will be generating something between 300 to 600 billion in tax revenue from tariffs."
Pending
Higher-than-expected tariffs are predicted to hurt business and stocks, while lower-than-expected tariffs are predicted to boost the economy and stocks.
"And that's the reason why tariffs have caused so much volatility in the stock market because investors are looking at this saying if we see more tariffs that's going to hurt business and that's going to hurt stocks. And so when you generally see more tariffs than expected that hurt stocks, stocks go down. When you see lower tariffs than expected, investors assume that that means okay the economy is going to grow faster and people can buy more stuff which is good for stocks which send stocks upwards."
Pending
A lack of trade agreements by July 9th could lead to stronger tariffs, potentially causing stocks to decline.
"But if we don't see a lot of agreements done by July 9th, there's a chance that we could see even stronger tariffs imposed on countries to put more pressure on them, which could send stocks lower."
Pending
The stock market has historically rallied after initial panic and subsequent calming of tariffs.
"And each time after that, we saw the stock market rally once tariffs were kind of calmed down."
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For long-term investors (10+ years), market downturns present buying opportunities.
"And that's where you have to know your goal. If you are an investor, we're investing for at least 10 years into the future. Market downturns create buying opportunities."
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There is uncertainty about entering a recession in 2025, 2026, or 2030.
"Now, yes, we could enter a recession in 2025. We could enter a recession in 2026. We could enter a recession in 2030. Nobody knows."
Pending
If markets continue to rise in the future, this will create buying opportunities for long-term investors.
"But if markets continue to rise in the future, which is what we've seen happen forever now, that creates a buying opportunity for those of you that are long-term investors."
Pending