ilmscore | Prediction Details
"I think because it's the fourth quarter of the posth having year, if we think we have a shot clock and we think that the cycle is going to end in this quarter, then if you start getting weekly closes below the 50we moving average, I just don't know that we're going to have enough time to like really repair that and then go into another rally. Because if you look at all prior cycles, the cycle was over after you had weekly closes below the 50we moving average, right? Like that was kind of a a hallmark sign that hey the cycle is over."
By Altcoin Daily | November 11, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
What's Next for Bitcoin? #crypto 00:00:38 - 00:01:08
Interpreted Prediction
If Bitcoin experiences weekly closes below its 50-week moving average during Q4 2025 (the post-halving year's fourth quarter), the current bull cycle is predicted to be over, preventing further significant rallies.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that if Bitcoin experienced weekly closes below its 50-week moving average during Q4 2025, the bull cycle would be over. Bitcoin did close below the 50 week moving average in Q4 2025, however, Bitcoin did experience a rally into January 2026. As of January 17th, 2026, Bitcoin's price is around $39,000, and thus, the prediction was inaccurate.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
103,027.59 USD
Price at the predicted date
39,000 USD

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