ilmscore | Prediction Details
"for it to actually trigger next month for it to actually trigger next month the unemployment rate would have to come in at around I calculated this earlier I think 4.31% so if it came in at 4.31% next month then the sum rule I believe would actually trigger but if it only comes in at say 4.1 or 4.2 then it it still won't"
By Benjamin Cowen | June 7, 2024 | Pending
From video
The Labor Market 00:28:06 - 00:28:28
Interpreted Prediction
The S-rule recession indicator is predicted to trigger in July 2024 if the unemployment rate reaches 4.31%.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Economy

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