US
US Economy
Topic
50.8%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 30
Pending: 506
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
If the US can extract Venezuelan oil cheaply, inflation will be subdued and economic growth will be higher, leading to US prosperity.
"inflation will be subdued. We're going to get higher economic growth and the USA will prosper"
Jan 7, 2026
Pending
The US government will continue to spend money it doesn't have in 2026, requiring borrowing. A potential decrease in Japanese investment in US debt could force the US government to raise interest rates to attract lenders.
"And number three has to do with United States debt buying. So the United States government also spen..."
Dec 24, 2025
Correct
If the Supreme Court overturns Trump's tariffs, it could provide a bullish tailwind for the markets, potentially benefiting crypto.
"There's also the possibility that Trump's tariffs will be thrown out by the Supreme Court in the com..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
The US federal deficit, currently around 7% of GDP, would dramatically increase if the AI bubble bursts and a recession occurs.
"The federal deficit is already running at around 7% of GDP. If the AI bubble bursts and ..."
Oct 17, 2025
Pending
Money printing by the Federal Reserve is predicted to exacerbate the wealth gap in the United States.
"all this money printing, it's going to widen the wealth gap because some people are closer to the mo..."
Oct 16, 2025
Correct
In 50 years, the current era will be remembered as the period when central bankers' actions, driven by greed and recklessness, led to the ruin of the country.
"this is going to be known as the era of when the central bankers took control and greed and reckless..."
Oct 16, 2025
Pending
A $1.8 trillion decrease in GDP would lead to a 6% economic contraction.
"if our GDP falls by $1.8 trillion, that would mean that our economy would contract by around 6%."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
Stopping money printing would cause the worst recession since the Great Depression.
"if we stopped this money printing, we would see the biggest recession that we have seen since the Gr..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
Recessions and market crashes are inevitable and are likely to be more severe in the future.
"Next time we see a recession because we know the recessions happen. We know that market crashes happ..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
Stopping deficit spending and money printing would trigger a recession 50% worse than 2008, with unprecedented economic pain.
"This would be a 50% worse recession than that. This is why it is so difficult for the United States ..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
US GDP is projected to reach $30 trillion in 2025.
"The United States economy in 2025 is expected to hit $30 trillion big. Again, that is our GDP, which..."
Oct 6, 2025
Pending
A slight increase in the perceived risk of the US dollar will eventually lead to a repricing of all financial assets.
"When the world's so-called risk-free rate becomes slightly less risk-free, everything reprices event..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
A government shutdown lasting a month could reduce US GDP growth by 0.8% and potentially push a slowing economy into recession.
"If the estimates are right, a month-long shutdown could cost 0.8% 8% of growth, potentially tipping ..."
Sep 30, 2025
Incorrect
Government shutdowns result in billions of dollars in permanently lost economic activity across communities with a significant federal presence.
"Multiply that across every community with a major federal presence and you get billions in lost econ..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
During the 2018-2019 shutdown, restaurants in the Washington D.C. area experienced revenue drops of 20-60%.
"The 2018 to 2019 shutdown showed this clearly. Washington DC area restaurants reported 20 to 60% rev..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
Each week of US government outage is estimated to cause 0.1% to 0.2% damage to the economy, according to the CBO and Goldman Sachs.
"Estimates from the Congressional Budget Office and Goldman Sachs calculate the damage at about 0.1% ..."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
US lost 13,000 jobs in June.
"The jobs numbers changed again and we're now showing we actually lost 13,000 jobs in June."
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
US added 22,000 jobs in August, resulting in 4.3% unemployment.
"We added only 22,000 jobs, which means unemployment is now at 4.3%."
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
The August jobs report was poor.
"And the most recent August one was also bad."
Sep 20, 2025
Incorrect
US job growth in August 2025 was lower than anticipated, and revisions indicated a weaker job market throughout most of 2025.
"And the United States economy added less jobs than expected, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics revi..."
Sep 19, 2025
Pending
With US unemployment at a 3-year high of 4.3%, consumer demand for loans (home, car) is expected to be low despite interest rate cuts.
"US is at the highest level of unemployment right now at 4.3%. Is this something scary and answer is ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted the US economy will enter a recession within the next 3 to 9 months (by 2026-06-18).
"don't be surprised if in the next 3 to 9 months you end up in a recession."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the US economy could enter a recession within the next 3 to 9 months from the video's publication date (September 18, 2025).
"don't be surprised if in the next 3 to 9 months you end up in a recession."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted a recession is possible within the next 3 to 9 months based on heavy truck sales data.
"don't be surprised if in the next 3 to 9 months you end up in a recession. It's no guarantee, but lo..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the US economy might enter a recession within the next 3 to 9 months (from September 18, 2025).
"don't be surprised if in the next 3 to 9 months you end up in a recession."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
US GDP was $29.1 trillion in 2024 and is projected to be $30 trillion by the end of 2025.
"In 2024, the United States economy was $29.1 trillion large... It is estimated that the United State..."
Aug 29, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes the US is close to a recession and potentially something worse.
"Right now, we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession. And I'm worried about so..."
Aug 29, 2025
Pending
A report published on August 13, 2025, by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, analyzed the resilience of consumer spending using credit card data.
"The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston just published a report on August 13th, 2025 titled, "Why has con..."
Aug 26, 2025
Pending
Data suggests that consumers with higher incomes are the primary drivers of spending growth.
"Data indicates higher income consumers are driving spending growth."
Aug 26, 2025
Pending
This is a prediction that government layoffs will increase significantly, surpassing even those in the tech sector, with an estimated quarter-million people laid off.
"What happens if you get fired? What happens if you lose your job? I know you work for the government..."
Aug 20, 2025
Pending
Small manufacturers are confronting existential risks as a result of the current economic conditions.
"Small manufacturers are facing existential threats rather than quarterly disappointments."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Tariffs are proving to be a fatal blow to companies operating with low profit margins.
"For firms with slim profit margins, these tariffs function as a death sentence delivered by their ow..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Instead of repatriating jobs, companies are relocating production outside the US to avoid tariffs.
"Companies aren't bringing jobs back to America. They're actually fleeing American tariffs by moving ..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US farmers are losing access to long-established export markets and facing increased costs for essential supplies.
"American farmers are finding themselves locked out of markets they'd spent decades cultivating while..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Agricultural bailout programs are stalled due to congressional inaction.
"The promised agricultural bailouts remain trapped in congressional gridlock."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Tariffs are accelerating de-industrialization by making remaining US factories less competitive.
"The tariffs, they don't reverse de-industrialization. They actually accelerate it by making the rema..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Despite economic hardship for businesses and farmers, the US Treasury is experiencing record revenue from tariffs.
"While businesses and farmers bleed, the Treasury is collecting record tariff revenue."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
US government collected over $87 billion in tariff revenue in the first half of 2025, surpassing the total for all of 2024.
"In the first half of 2025 alone, the government collected over 87 billion in tariff revenue, more th..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
President Trump claims tariffs are revitalizing America, transforming it from a 'dead country' to the 'hottest country' globally.
"Trump declared on social media that tariffs were making America 'quote great and rich again, claimin..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The significant revenue generated by tariffs is ultimately borne by American businesses and consumers.
"The Treasury's windfall comes entirely from American businesses, dutifully passed on to American con..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The US dollar unexpectedly strengthened despite the US initiating trade conflicts with its partners.
"The dollar paradoxically strengthened despite America declaring economic war on its trading partners..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Leading economic indicators signal future difficulties, with rising import and producer prices and companies anticipating further price hikes due to pre-tariff inventory.
"Forward-looking indicators are screaming trouble. Import prices surged, producer prices accelerated,..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Consumers are opting for less expensive alternatives, with Walmart seeing a shift to cheaper products and dollar stores experiencing increased traffic from both low-income and middle-class shoppers.
"Consumer behavior is adapting predictably. A Walmart reports customers trading down to cheaper alter..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The 'K-shaped recovery,' previously warned about by economists, is now a clear reality.
"The K-shaped recovery economists warned about has become undeniable reality."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
The US administration is examining pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, and copper for potential targeted restrictions.
"The administration is investigating pharmaceutical semiconductors and copper for targeted restrictio..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
All sectors essential to modern life are currently under review for potential policy changes.
"Every sector keeping modern life functional is under review."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Financial markets are factoring in lasting uncertainty, evidenced by expanding credit spreads and inverting yield curves.
"Financial markets are pricing in permanent uncertainty. Credit spreads are widening. Yield curves in..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Despite the dollar's apparent strength, reserve managers are discreetly diversifying their holdings.
"The dollar's apparent strength masks reserve managers quietly diversifying."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Savvy investors are preparing for significant political or economic shifts.
"Smart money is positioning for regime change, political or economic, whichever comes first."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending
Tariffs imposed nearly a century ago did not initiate the Great Depression but were instrumental in its worldwide proliferation.
"Those tariffs of almost a century ago didn't cause the Great Depression, but guaranteed its global s..."
Aug 10, 2025
Pending