ilmscore | Fed Money Printing Starts on December 12th — Inflation Warning!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 2
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve will purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills starting December 12th.
"The Federal Purchase, aka Prince, $40 billion in Treasury bills starting on December 12th."
Federal Reserve Treasury Bill Purchases
Correct
The US economy is projected to grow by 2.3% in the upcoming year (2026).
"Now, they're projecting that the US economy will grow by 2.3%."
US Economy GDP Growth Projection
Correct
The unemployment rate is projected to be 4.4% by the end of next year (2026).
"They're projecting that the unemployment rates will end next year at 4.4%"
US Unemployment Rate Projection
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% for the year 2026.
"The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates only one time by 0.25% 25% in 2026."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Projection
Incorrect
Productivity is expected to be structurally higher, potentially due to AI, allowing for higher economic growth without significantly increasing job creation.
"So, it it is the implication is obviously higher productivity. Um, and u some of that may be AI? Just also I think u productivity has just been almost structurally higher for several years now. So if you start thinking of it as 2% per year you can sustain higher growth without more without more job creation."
US Productivity Growth
Pending
The Federal Reserve is increasing liquidity in the system to prepare for tax payments due on April 15th.
"Powell says that he wants to make sure that there's enough liquidity in the system for when people go to pay their taxes on April 15th."
Federal Reserve Liquidity for Tax Payments
Correct
Ongoing growth in the banking system necessitates an increase of approximately $25 billion per month in reserves to maintain a constant level.
"There's also a secular ongoing growth of the balance sheet. We have to keep reserves call it constant as it relates to the banking system or to the whole whole economy. And that alone calls for us to increase about 2025 billion per month."
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Growth
Incorrect