From video
Interpreted Prediction
There is an 80% chance that Jerome Powell's tenure will continue without extraordinary events (like being fired or pressured into lowering rates) before his term ends in May 2026.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-20
Jerome Powell's term as Chair of the Federal Reserve ends in May 2026, and as of April 20, 2026, he remains in office without having been fired or forced out due to extraordinary events. The prediction that his tenure would continue through this period has effectively materialized.