"Now, after this press conference, the odds of a rate cut in September have fallen from that 59.8% to now 46%."
By ClearValue Tax | July 30, 2025 | Correct
From video
Fed Decision: No Interest Rate Cut — Here’s What Comes Next 00:01:55 - 00:02:02
Interpreted Prediction
There is a 46% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-29
The Federal Reserve did cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September 2025, confirming the event. A 46% probability estimate correctly identified the significant likelihood of this outcome.

Prediction Details

Ticker
Price at the predicted date
1 USD

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