"I think we're already in a recession because household debt is stretched. Credit card balances are at record highs. The job market is weaker than headlines were telling us. There's social unrest. People are angry at immigration policies. Birth rates are at the lowest they've ever been. And now the bond market's in trouble."
By Andrei Jikh | September 9, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
The Bond Market Just Broke The Fed 00:17:11 - 00:17:29
Interpreted Prediction
The economy is currently in a recession.
AI Evaluation Notes
Evaluated on 2026-04-28
Economic data from September 2025, including GDP growth and employment figures, confirms the U.S. economy was expanding rather than in a recession. The NBER did not designate this period as a recessionary one.

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