ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Money & Macro | December 8, 2023 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that implemented CBDCs are likely to improve people's lives and will not primarily serve as a means of government control.
AI Evaluation Notes
By the target date of March 2024, while many countries were exploring CBDCs, only a handful had launched them, making widespread improvements to people's lives unobservable. Concerns about CBDCs serving as a means of government control and privacy overreach were prevalent and actively discussed, contradicting the prediction that this would not be their primary function.

Prediction Details

Target
CBDCs will improve people's lives rather than become a tool for government control
Predicted date
With CBDC adoption

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