ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And when it comes to this, let's take a look at the early 1800s because believe it or not, they had similar tariffs as we have today. Back then, tariffs were implemented to protect US industrial products against competition from foreign imports, and tariffs were increased all the way to 49%. In this case, US manufacturing certainly benefited, but the agriculture industry did not. Over time, this resulted in the reduction of tariffs when individual states argued that they were unconstitutional. And all of this laid the groundwork for the Civil War."
By Graham Stephan | April 4, 2025 | Pending
Gemini flagged this as a quote from another source, so it doesn't count toward author's accuracy metrics, but we still show the evaluation for transparency.
From video
It’s Over: Trump Just Broke The Stock Market 00:08:20 - 00:08:51
Interpreted Prediction
Historical analysis of early 1800s tariffs suggests they benefited US manufacturing but harmed agriculture, eventually leading to their reduction and contributing to the Civil War.

Prediction Details

Topic
Historical Tariff Impact

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