ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Graham Stephan | September 8, 2025 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
Increasing tariff revenue significantly would negatively impact the economy, and current projections of over $100 billion only represent 2% of government needs, meaning tariffs cannot meaningfully replace other revenue sources.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that increasing tariff revenue significantly would negatively impact the economy and that tariffs cannot meaningfully replace other revenue sources. According to the Congressional Budget Office, tariff revenues have increased, but economic growth has been moderate, and tariffs still constitute a small portion of overall government revenue.

Prediction Details

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