From video
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted a potential deflationary bust if inflation continues to decrease after Q1 2024.
AI Evaluation Notes
After Q1 2024, inflation in the U.S. did not lead to a deflationary bust. Instead, both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rates remained positive, generally hovering around 2-3% throughout 2024 and into 2025. There were even instances of inflation rising in some periods, contrary to the prediction of continued decreases leading to deflation.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
Deflationary bust
Predicted
date
after Q1 of 2024, if inflation continues to fall