ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Graham Stephan | July 4, 2025 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the new tax plan will cost the bottom 20% of taxpayers an additional $560 per year.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the new tax plan would cost the bottom 20% of taxpayers an additional $560 per year. However, the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act,' which was signed into law on the same day the prediction was made, resulted in a tax cut of $150 for the bottom 20% of taxpayers. This is the opposite of the predicted outcome and a significant deviation in the actual financial impact.

Prediction Details

Target
Bottom 20% of taxpayers to pay $560 more per year
Predicted date
Ongoing

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