Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the Federal Reserve and the US government have opted for hyperinflation as a policy path over deflation.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the Federal Reserve and the US government opted for hyperinflation as a policy path. However, current data for 2025 shows the annual inflation rate in the US to be around 3%. This is far below the threshold for hyperinflation, which is typically defined as an inflation rate exceeding 50% per month. The Federal Reserve has been actively managing interest rates throughout 2025, including anticipated cuts, to maintain price stability, which contradicts a policy choice for hyperinflation.
Prediction Details
Target
Federal Reserve and US government have chosen hyperinflation over deflation
Predicted
date
Ongoing policy choice leading to future outcome