ilmscore | Prediction Details
By ClearValue Tax | November 18, 2024 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that a 10% tariff on imports would not stop business and would generate significant revenue.
AI Evaluation Notes
A 10% universal tariff was implemented in April 2025 and has generated significant revenue as predicted, with estimates ranging from $1.6 trillion to $2.7 trillion over various periods. However, while businesses did not cease operations, there was widespread concern among business leaders regarding the economic impact of the tariffs by September 2025, indicating a greater negative effect on business than implied by the prediction 'would not stop business.'

Prediction Details

Target
Will not stop business and will generate significant revenue
Predicted date
If implemented

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