Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that a 10% tariff on clothing would not lead to a US clothing industry revival, and the cost of 97% of US clothing would increase by 10%.
AI Evaluation Notes
Tariffs impacting clothing were implemented or significantly discussed in 2025, after the prediction date. The prediction that there would be no US clothing industry revival appears accurate, as industry experts did not believe tariffs would swiftly revive US apparel manufacturing. While the prediction stated a 10% cost increase, actual reports indicate apparel prices rose by approximately 17-19%, meaning the cost increase was correctly predicted in direction, though underestimated in magnitude.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
No US clothing industry revival; cost of 97% of clothing would go up by 10%
Predicted
date
If implemented