Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the overall effect of tariffs on the economy would be massive and positive.
AI Evaluation Notes
Significant tariffs were implemented in 2025, including the 'Liberation Day tariffs' in April and additional tariffs in August. Economic analyses indicate these tariffs had a negative impact on the economy, projecting reductions in long-run GDP and wages, and increasing costs for households, contrary to the predicted 'massive and positive effect'.
Prediction Details
Target
Tariffs will have a massive positive effect on the overall economy
Predicted
date
When implemented