Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that a 10% tariff on all imports is expected to generate $400 billion in tax revenue.
AI Evaluation Notes
A 10% tariff on all imports was implemented in the US starting in April 2025. The predicted annual revenue was $400 billion. However, the actual tariff revenue for Fiscal Year 2025 was approximately $195 billion, which is significantly lower than the prediction.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
A 10% tariff on all imports is expected to generate $400 billion in revenue
Predicted
date
Annually, if implemented
Price at the predicted date
195 USD