Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the market crash will be short-lived, followed by a V-shaped recovery due to the Fed's actions (zero rates, money printing).
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that a market crash would be short-lived, followed by a V-shaped recovery due to the Fed cutting rates to zero and printing massive amounts of money. However, after November 2024, the Federal Reserve did not cut interest rates to zero; instead, rates were in the 3.5%-4.5% range in late 2024 and 2025. Furthermore, the Fed was engaged in quantitative tightening, reducing its balance sheet, rather than massive money printing (quantitative easing). While there was some market volatility and a 'downturn' in early 2025, this was not widely characterized as a severe crash that triggered the predicted extreme Fed actions.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
The crash will be short-lived and lead to a V-shaped recovery after the Fed cuts rates to zero and prints massive amounts of money
Predicted
date
After the manufactured crisis