ilmscore | Prediction Details
"So, the government's going to auction off 11 trillion of US treasuries, and they're going to hope that there's going to be enough people to buy them up and an interest rate of around 4%. But if there aren't enough people willing to lend the government 11 trillion at a 4% interest rate, then the US government's going to have to offer a higher interest rate to attract more lenders, maybe 4.25% or 4.5% or even 5% or even 6%."
By ClearValue Tax | August 29, 2025 | Correct
From video
US Debt Crisis — Trump’s New Plan to Fix It with Crypto & Gold 00:01:58.399 - 00:02:26.000
Interpreted Prediction
The US government will need to offer interest rates higher than 4% on its $11 trillion in treasury auctions if demand is insufficient, potentially reaching 5% or 6%.
AI Evaluation Notes
According to Treasury Department data, the interest rates on treasury notes have fluctuated between 4% and 5% since August 2025, with some auctions requiring rates slightly above 4% to meet demand. This suggests the prediction was somewhat accurate in anticipating the potential need for rates higher than 4%.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Treasury Yields

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