ilmscore | Prediction Details
"I said, "Okay, let me just do a little chart study, get my thoughts on paper, and sort of answer this question so I don't have to keep, you know, answering it every time I speak about stuff." And so I wrote this essay about the four-year cycle and my view that the four-year cycle does not apply in this particular circumstance."
By Coin Bureau | November 2, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Arthur Hayes on the Bitcoin Cycle, Dumping HYPE & Zcash Predictions 00:02:50 - 00:03:08
Interpreted Prediction
The speaker believes the traditional 4-year cycle for Bitcoin is no longer applicable and will not follow its historical pattern.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the 4-year cycle would not apply to Bitcoin. However, from November 2, 2025, to January 11, 2026, the price of Bitcoin decreased from $110542.94 to $41780.0, indicating that the predicted outcome was completely wrong.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
110,542.94 USD
Price at the predicted date
41,780 USD

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