ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The tiebreaker, as always, is the macro environment. And here, too, the data argues against a prolonged bare market. First, let's look at the US dollar index or the Dixie. Historically, Bitcoin has had a strong inverse correlation with the dollar. A strong dollar sucks liquidity from global markets, hurting risk assets like crypto. A weak dollar does the opposite. And right now, the Dixie is significantly weak, trading well below its 365day moving average. And this is a tailwind for Bitcoin, not a headwind."
By Coin Bureau | November 19, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Bitcoin Crashes Below $90K! Is the Bull Run Dead? 00:09:24 - 00:09:59
Interpreted Prediction
The macro environment, specifically a weak US Dollar Index (DXY) trading below its 365-day moving average, argues against a prolonged Bitcoin bear market and acts as a tailwind.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that a weak US Dollar Index would act as a tailwind for Bitcoin, arguing against a prolonged bear market. However, the price of Bitcoin on 2026-01-11 is $41170.0, significantly lower than the initial price of $91486.47569699 on 2025-11-19, indicating a very inaccurate prediction.

Prediction Details

Ticker
BTC
Initial Price
91,486.48 USD

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