Interpreted Prediction
The US federal deficit, currently around 7% of GDP, would dramatically increase if the AI bubble bursts and a recession occurs.
AI Evaluation Notes
To evaluate the prediction, I need to determine if an AI bubble burst occurred and if a recession subsequently hit the US economy. Then, I need to find the US federal deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2025 and 2026 to compare it to the original prediction that the deficit would dramatically increase from around 7% of GDP.
Prediction Details
Topic