ilmscore | Prediction Details
"But still, if the money supply is growing at 5% and they're reporting 3%, then that's still a massive under reporting. You know, that's the difference between getting a 3% cost of living adjustments compared to a 5% cost of living adjustments. And that's happening year after year after year. It compounds. And again, this is a calm period. They reported 8% inflation, you know, during the pandemic when it was really running at 15%."
By ClearValue Tax | September 30, 2025 | Pending
From video
CPI Inflation Report — Why You Can't Trust it 00:09:37 - 00:10:00
Interpreted Prediction
The current money supply growth of 5% compared to a reported 3% inflation rate represents a massive underreporting, leading to significant cumulative differences in cost of living adjustments over years. During the pandemic, reported 8% inflation was actually closer to 15%.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction involves comparing reported inflation rates to actual rates and money supply growth, which is complex and requires specific economic data to verify. The prediction about inflation during the pandemic also requires detailed analysis of historical data, making it difficult to rate accuracy without substantial economic research.

Prediction Details

Topic
Government Inflation Reporting Accuracy

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