From video
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that if the Federal Reserve lowers rates but investors remain concerned about high inflation, the 10-year Treasury yield could rise to 4.5% or 4.6%.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction was that the 10-year Treasury yield could rise to 4.5% or 4.6%. On January 1, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield was approximately 3.88%. This is more than 50% off from the prediction, thus the prediction is very inaccurate.
Prediction Details
Topic
Predicted
date
Undefined future (conditional)