From video
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that if the 10-year Treasury yield goes over 4%, there will be a lot of panic in the market in the short term.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that there would be panic if the 10-year treasury yield went over 4%. The 10-year treasury yield reached a high of approximately 4.3% in November of 2025 but is currently at 3.87%. While there were periods of volatility, it cannot be definitively stated that there was significant 'panic' in the market broadly.
Prediction Details
Target
panic in the market if 10-year yield goes over 4%
Predicted
date
Future (short term, conditional)