ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And I think the the other aspect is of course people pointing to the you know treasury general account but here also of course it has been refilled from you know 300 billion to 900 billion and any moment I think people were initially expecting as soon as the the government in the US reopens after the shutdown that is going to be depleted and suddenly you know there's all this liquidity that's going to that's going to you know pump bitcoin up but I think we had this similar aspect in February um this year where it actually took two months to really, you know, deplete, you know, really just release all the liquidity from the, you know, Treasury General account. And it really took from February until April, you know, until really, you know, it was, I think also from like 800 billion to around 250 300 billion. So there was suddenly liquidity coming in. But if you remember during this time actually Bitcoin fell. So despite the liquidity from the TGA coming into the market, Bitcoin fell and Bitcoin only started to rise after the whole Trump tariff tantrum basically."
By Coin Bureau | December 14, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
This Is A Bear Market! Why We Could Be Heading Lower | Markus Thielen 00:15:50 - 00:16:44
Interpreted Prediction
Depletion of the Treasury General Account (TGA) did not lead to a Bitcoin price increase in February-April of the current year, and Bitcoin only rose after the 'Trump tariff tantrum'.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the depletion of the TGA did not lead to a Bitcoin price increase between February and April of 2025 and that Bitcoin only rose after the 'Trump tariff tantrum'. While the first part of the statement regarding the TGA might be true, Bitcoin's price actually started to rise gradually from late January 2025 and continued to increase through February to April before the 'Trump tariff tantrum'.

Prediction Details

Topic
Bitcoin price prediction

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