ilmscore | Prediction Details
"And I think the other aspect really is that the employment rate historically once we have started to ramp up in the unemployment rate that it actually has really you know spiked a little bit out of control until there was a recession and I think if you just look at a chart from you know 20 30 years history I think it indicates we are sort of like at this you know bottoming period right now and as long as we are above the one-year moving average I think it's sort of like quite a negative sign and yes you know there will be more stimulus if goes a little bit out of control but it will also come with pain in terms of risk assets first."
By Coin Bureau | December 14, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
This Is A Bear Market! Why We Could Be Heading Lower | Markus Thielen 00:26:18 - 00:26:55
Interpreted Prediction
Historically, rising unemployment has led to recessions. The current unemployment trend is concerning, and while stimulus may come, pain in risk assets is expected first.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated rising unemployment would lead to a recession and pain in risk assets, specifically mentioning Bitcoin. While the unemployment rate did increase slightly, it did not lead to a recession. Bitcoin experienced a period of volatility but ultimately increased in value in the year following the prediction.

Prediction Details

Topic
Bitcoin price prediction

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