ilmscore | Prediction Details
"So, so you think the narratives are the right are the catalyst which could take Alt higher. Uh right now there's nothing that's compelling from your angle in terms of what's come out this cycle. Well, I think when you you know when you look historically, right, people always try to look at the the havinging cycle as sort of like why we rally, but I think in you know in the end it was always like an exciting story or a new way to acquire Bitcoin. It was it was you know it was it was something else was was really going on. It was not suddenly that the mining rewards were cut you know in half that suddenly bitcoin would be rallying you know it was for example in 2013 it was suddenly you know bitcoin was available in China discovered it, you know, bu which is like the the Chinese Google was accepting bitcoin payments for some of their services that time really when bitcoin went up 10x in a matter of weeks. So there was like a great you know story really around right and I think really like a sort of like a use case versus this this cycle it's more about buying and storing the asset but not really using it and I think that's really kind of like where where the narrative runs a little bit you know foul because we don't want people to just sort of like just just stake their ease we want the people using their ease for something exciting you know we want you know people using ease to I don't know mint NFTts or or something else right but but using it and I think that's really the I think the you know the problem we have is that historically when there was you know when when the cost structure went lower for example when when batteries for cars you know when when the cost for batteries went lower and lower and lower suddenly of course Tesla exploded because it was cheaper for them you know to buy these batteries and put them in their kind their cars and everything so there was a lot more uh you know volume going on versus I think right now is of course we having these finally Ethereum you know, fees, gas fees are lower and lower, but not a lot of volumes is happening. And I think that's sort of like the the mismatch, right?"
By Coin Bureau | December 14, 2025 | Pending
From video
This Is A Bear Market! Why We Could Be Heading Lower | Markus Thielen 00:39:59 - 00:41:53
Interpreted Prediction
Exciting narratives and novel use cases, rather than just the halving cycle, have historically driven Bitcoin rallies. Currently, the focus is on holding rather than using crypto, and despite lower Ethereum gas fees, there's a lack of increased volume or adoption.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction discusses potential drivers for altcoin rallies, focusing on narratives and use cases rather than halving cycles, and expresses concern about the lack of volume despite lower Ethereum gas fees. Evaluating the accuracy requires assessing the actual narratives, use cases, and market behavior regarding altcoins since the prediction date, which is difficult to quantify without specific metrics.

Prediction Details

Topic
Altcoins performance

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