From video
Interpreted Prediction
Tom Lee predicted that if the 10-year Treasury yield goes over 4%, the market will experience a lot of panic.
AI Evaluation Notes
The 10-year Treasury yield did not go over 4% as of January 1, 2026; it closed at 3.87% on January 1, 2026. Therefore, the prediction that the market would experience a lot of panic if the yield went over 4% was not borne out.
Prediction Details
Target
market panic if 10-year yield goes over 4%
Predicted
date
future