ilmscore | Central Bank Policy Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 6
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 4
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Fed and Treasury will escalate asset purchases, and money creation will continue.
"my projection is this will continue to escalate. We will continue to see the Fed buying assets. We w..."
Jan 19, 2026
Pending
The European Central Bank's balance sheet is predicted to shrink by 11% by the end of 2026, due to $500 billion in securities being put back into the market.
"The European Central Bank is putting over $500 billion of securities back into the market in 2026 an..."
Jan 11, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to execute $480 billion in treasury bill purchases over 12 months, at a rate of $40 billion per month, as part of its Reserve Management Purchases.
"They're going to be buying $40 billion in treasury bills every single month over 12 months. It's exp..."
Jan 11, 2026
Pending
The end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) by the Federal Reserve on December 1st is seen as a precursor to liquidity expansion, signaling a potential shift in market conditions.
"On December 1st, the Fed officially ended QT. They have stopped draining liquidity. And history tell..."
Jan 2, 2026
Correct
Predicted that the Bank of Japan will likely delay raising interest rates until January 2025.
"the market is suggesting they're not going to raise rates in December tomorrow so there's a good cha..."
Dec 18, 2024
Incorrect
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is predicted to begin policy tightening (e.g., raising rates) once the US Federal Reserve (Powell) starts easing its monetary policy (e.g., cutting rates). This action is expected by the end of the month (July 2024).
"I think they're going to go we'll find out at the end of the month but like I said yesterday they're..."
Jul 12, 2024
Pending