ilmscore | Monetary Policy (Balance Sheet) Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 2
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 2
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Jerome Powell states that the Federal Reserve will end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1, 2025. From December 2025, the balance sheet size will be held steady, with maturing mortgage-backed securities proceeds reinvested into Treasury bills to foster a portfolio primarily of Treasury securities, while reserve balances gradually move lower.
"The Fed will end QT on December 1, and mortgage-backed security redemptions will be invested into T-..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell predicts that starting December, the Fed will maintain a steady balance sheet size, leading to a gradual decrease in reserve balances as non-reserve liabilities (e.g., currency) continue to grow.
"In December, we'll enter the next phase of our normalization plans by holding the size of our balanc..."
Oct 29, 2025
Pending