ilmscore | US Economy / Recession Indicator Predictions
US

US Economy / Recession Indicator

Topic
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 2
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 2
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Smooth Recession Probabilities indicator is predicted to increase at the beginning of September 2024, reflecting recent unemployment rate data.
"once you know once we get the next data point for this the beginning of next month it'll probably be..."
Benjamin Cowen Benjamin Cowen
Aug 3, 2024
Pending
The Sahm Rule Recess...
The Som Rule recession indicator was predicted to trigger later in the business cycle (prediction made around December 2023, confirmed as triggered by July 2024 data).
"in that video we we just sort of forecasted that likely later on this business cycle that this metri..."
Benjamin Cowen Benjamin Cowen
Aug 3, 2024
Pending
The Sahm Rule Recess...