ilmscore | US Federal Reserve Policy Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 13
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates due to concerns about job losses caused by AI, with a target of 2.5%.
"I think they're going to cut rates. I think jobs are a bigger worry in the administration than the m..."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that the US Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in January 2026.
"the Fed is not going to cut rates in January."
Dec 12, 2025
Pending
The speaker anticipates guaranteed Fed rate cuts within two weeks and expects a new, highly dovish Fed chair in the following year who will aim to stimulate the economy.
"Fed rate cuts coming up in two weeks almost guaranteed. You've got a new Fed chair coming in next ye..."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Bullish investors hope Powell's speech signals a dovish stance, leading to interest rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and support for Bitcoin's price.
"and bulls of course want doubbish signals for a swift rate cuts to pressure the dollar and support B..."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Jerome Powell's speech at the Hoover Institution on December 2nd may provide insights into his monetary policy stance (dovish or hawkish).
"Powell is speaking at 8:00 p.m. It's a speech at the Hoover Institutions George P. Schultz memorial ..."
Dec 1, 2025
Correct
Government shutdowns could lead to the Federal Reserve making policy errors due to a lack of current economic data.
"The Fed could end up in policy paralysis or making interest rate decisions based on stale informatio..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
Due to good economic parameters but high inflation in the US, the Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates stable for several more months.
"considering all these points there are great chances that the Fed may not reduce the Fed fund rate o..."
Feb 14, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve rarely implements 50 basis point interest rate cuts in non-emergency situations.
"it's relatively rare for the FED to want to cut move 50 basis points um in non-emergency cases"
Sep 9, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is likely to implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut.
"it seems more likely now than not that it's the 25 basis point uh cut"
Sep 9, 2024
Pending
A 50 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed could signal market concerns, which they may want to avoid to prevent spooking investors.
"I think that if they go in there the FED goes in at 50 basis points and cuts at 50 basis point then ..."
Sep 9, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would likely start cutting interest rates in the summer of 2024.
"there's a good chance that the fed's going to cut sometime this year I think they might... I actuall..."
May 13, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the fight against inflation is ongoing and efforts are being made to bring it back to the 2% target.
"Jerome Powell said very clearly that the fight against Central the fight against inflation is not ye..."
Jun 22, 2023
Pending
The Federal Reserve may increase the Fed Fund Rate again in its July FOMC meeting, despite cooling inflation.
"Jerome Powell was very very hawkish in his entire statements he said that yes inflation has cooled o..."
Jun 15, 2023
Pending