US
US Federal Reserve Policy
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 11
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Predicted that the US Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in January 2026.
"the Fed is not going to cut rates in January."
Dec 12, 2025
Correct
The speaker anticipates guaranteed Fed rate cuts within two weeks and expects a new, highly dovish Fed chair in the following year who will aim to stimulate the economy.
"Fed rate cuts coming up in two weeks almost guaranteed. You've got a new Fed chair coming in next ye..."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Jerome Powell is predicted to argue for no rate cut at an upcoming FOMC meeting (implied December 2025).
"So my guess would be that, you know, he's probably, you know, he doesn't really feel he has to do ha..."
Nov 6, 2025
Pending
Government shutdowns could lead to the Federal Reserve making policy errors due to a lack of current economic data.
"The Fed could end up in policy paralysis or making interest rate decisions based on stale informatio..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
US Federal Reserve predicted to implement additional rate cuts after September 2025.
"I think that means we get more cuts"
Sep 25, 2025
Pending
Rob suggests that future Fed rate cuts, even if 50 basis points, may be insufficient or that larger cuts might be needed.
"maybe 50 basis points will look light coming up."
Sep 25, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement three 25-basis point rate cuts across the remaining FOMC meetings of 2025 (September, October, and December).
"It's leaning towards a 25point base cut in December as well right now. So really as things sit, we'r..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell (Fed Chair) is predicted to hold interest rates constant until December 2025, which would then lead to an emergency rate cut.
"I totally think he's going to hold them to December... to hold them all the way through December and..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a rate cut in September and October 2025.
"the Federal Reserve is leaning very heavily towards a rate cut in September. Um September and Octobe..."
Aug 6, 2025
Pending
If Kamala Harris wins the US election (2024), the Fed might communicate an end to quantitative tightening, outline a path for quantitative easing, and possibly cut rates by 50 basis points. If Donald Trump wins, the Fed is predicted to hold rates.
"if Harris is the one I think that the FED might communicate an end to quantitative tightening and um..."
Nov 5, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is likely to implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut.
"it seems more likely now than not that it's the 25 basis point uh cut"
Sep 9, 2024
Pending
Predicted that the Federal Reserve would likely start cutting interest rates in the summer of 2024.
"there's a good chance that the fed's going to cut sometime this year I think they might... I actuall..."
May 13, 2024
Pending
Guy predicts that a Federal Reserve pivot (rate cuts) is more than likely to occur in 2024.
"I think a pivot this year is is more than likely"
Jan 4, 2024
Pending
Guy predicts the first Fed rate cut in 2024 could happen in March, but is more likely to occur towards the summer as the US election approaches.
"my guess is there's a there's a chance we could see it in March but I I think maybe perhaps more tow..."
Jan 4, 2024
Pending